Mets vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - August 29, 2024

Mets at Diamondbacks

7:40 pm • ARID

New York Mets

1-0

3 - 2

Arizona Diamondbacks

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Nelson			4.24	10-6
D.Peterson			2.90	10-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 1-0	+1.5-192	o8-118	+105
Diamondbacks 0-2	-1.5+162	u8-103	-125

Thursday 7:40 p.m.

August 29, 2024

Chase FieldPhoenix

Over 8-118

NYM +104

1.04u

Under 8.5-120

NYM bats have officially fallen off ranking 19th in BA the L15 days & 27th the L7 days. They will face R. Nelson who had a rough start to the season, but really pulled it together the L2 months with a 2.41 ERA in July & a 3.28 ERA in Aug. In that time he’s gone 5+ innings in every game & facing bats like BOS, PHI, KC, SD, LAD. No way these NYM bats get to him. ARI bats have been consistently good, but so has D. Peterson.. arguably the best pitcher in Aug. allowing only a 1.71 ERA & also seeing good bats (SD, BAL, COL at Coors). He’s been locking down similar line ups all month. Both of these bullpens are mid, but healthy. I think these starters go deep into this game & runs will be hard to come by.

NYM +104 (F5)

@sandyplashkes

R.Nelson o5.5 Ks+100

NYM +103

1.03u

#5starsmlb

D.Peterson u4.5 Ks-135

1.5u

Full breakdown on YouTube

NYM +104 (F5)

Under 8.5+102

3.06u

ARI -115

Featured Insight
Mets hitters have a hard-hit rate of 41% this season -- fifth best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 40% against the Diamondbacks RPs this season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Diamondbacks have answered-back in 41% of innings after an opponent scores this month -- second highest in MLB. Mets have allowed a run 42% of the time after an opposing score this month -- third highest in MLB.

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The Mets are 13-7 (.650) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Eugenio Suarez has struck out in 30% of PA's since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB-- 0 Percentile. Alex Vesia has a strikeout rate of 33% since the 2022 season -- 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

David Peterson has walked 70 of 628 right-handed batters (11%) since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .321 (147-for-458) against Ryne Nelson at home since last season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: .244 -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 50 of Diamondbacks' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 29th	NYM	W 8-5	-1.5 W	O 9	ARI -125
Aug 28th	NYM	L 3-8	+1.5 L	O 8	NYM -110
Aug 25th	@BOS	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 9	ARI +110
Aug 24th	@BOS	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 9.5	ARI +114
Aug 23rd	@BOS	W 12-2	+1.5 W	O 9.5	ARI +106

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Peterson, P	88	7	4	2
RJ.Butto, P	20	1	0	0
RE.Diaz, P	18	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	1-4	1	1	1
2S.Marte, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2H.Bader, CF	0-0	0	0	0
3B.Nimmo, CF	2-4	0	0	0
3B.Nimmo, LF	2-4	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
5J.Winker, LF	2-4	0	0	0
5T.Taylor, PR	0-0	1	0	0
5T.Taylor, RF	0-0	1	0	0
6J.Martinez, DH	1-4	0	0	0
7J.Iglesias, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
8J.McNeil, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
9L.Torrens, C	0-3	0	0	0
9F.Alvarez, C	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Nelson, P	95	6.1	4	2
LA.Puk, P	11	0.2	1	0
RR.Thompson, P	12	1	1	0
RJ.Martinez, P	16	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Perdomo, SS	0-3	1	0	0
2R.Grichuk, DH	2-3	1	1	2
2J.Pederson, PH	0-0	0	0	0
2J.Pederson, DH	0-0	0	0	0
3L.Gurriel, LF	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Bell, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5J.McCarthy, CF	1-4	0	0	0
6E.Suarez, 3B	1-2	0	0	0
7C.Carroll, RF	1-3	0	0	0
8K.Newman, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Herrera, C	0-2	0	0	0
9A.Del Castillo, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9A.Del Castillo, C	0-1	0	0	0