Mets vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - August 28, 2024

Mets at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • SNY

New York Mets

7-6

8 - 3

Arizona Diamondbacks

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Pfaadt			4.71	11-10
S.Manaea			3.47	12-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 7-6	-1.5	-1.5+152	o8-124	-110
Diamondbacks 0-0	u8	+1.5-183	u8+104	-110

Wednesday 1:40 a.m.

August 28, 2024

Chase FieldPhoenix

ARI -110 (F5)

0.5u

*ONLY BET IF YOU HAVE METS F5* Pfaadt in for Rodriguez. Updated projection ARI -110

S.Manaea u17.5 Outs-135

1.35u

ARI -106

1.06u

S.Manaea u17.5 Outs-140

B.Pfaadt u6.5 Ks-130

+18.7% edge based on our Action Pro projections Under in 16/25 (64%) and 4 of L5 Even with a high K rate from Mets offense of late, they’re also 6th in wRC+ and 11th in BB%. Pfaadt could see his pitch count rise fast here in a tough matchup

NYM +100 (F5)

0.5u

UPDATE: Pass after Arizona pitching change

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Featured Insight
Diamondbacks have struck out just 14% over the last week -- lowest in MLB. Mets have a strikeout rate of just 18% over the last week -- third lowest in MLB.

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The Mets are 13-7 (.650) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

31% of Corbin Carroll strikeouts are looking since last season -- 13th highest in MLB-- 90th Percentile. 37% of Adam Ottavino strikeouts are looking since last season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 50 of Diamondbacks' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 25th	@BOS	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 9	ARI +110
Aug 24th	@BOS	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 9.5	ARI +114
Aug 23rd	@BOS	W 12-2	+1.5 W	O 9.5	ARI +106
Aug 21st	@MIA	W 10-8	-1.5 W	O 9	ARI -170
Aug 20th	@MIA	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	ARI -130

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

Ryne Nelson
P
Nelson is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Manaea, P	103	6.2	11	3
RR.Garrett, P	9	0.1	0	0
RP.Maton, P	16	0.2	0	0
LD.Young, P	5	0.1	1	0
RA.Ottavino, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	2-5	1	0	0
2M.Vientos, 3B	2-5	1	0	1
3B.Nimmo, LF	3-5	1	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-5	1	1	1
5J.Winker, RF	0-2	0	0	1
5H.Bader, PH	0-2	0	0	0
5H.Bader, CF	0-2	0	0	0
6J.Martinez, DH	2-4	2	0	0
7T.Taylor, CF	1-4	0	0	1
7T.Taylor, RF	1-4	0	0	1
8J.McNeil, 2B	1-4	1	0	2
9F.Alvarez, C	1-5	1	0	1

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Pfaadt, P		98	4.2	6	6
LJ.Montgomery, P		70	4.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Perdomo, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2J.McCarthy, CF	1-4	0	0	0
3L.Gurriel, LF	1-4	1	1	1
4J.Bell, 1B	2-3	1	0	0
5R.Grichuk, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Pederson, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5J.Pederson, DH	0-1	0	0	0
6E.Suarez, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7C.Carroll, RF	1-4	1	1	2
8K.Newman, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8L.Guillorme, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Herrera, C	1-3	0	0	0