Mets vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - May 21, 2024

Mets at Guardians

10:10 pm • SNY

New York Mets

7-6

6 - 7

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
X.Curry			5.84	0-2
A.Houser			5.84	1-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 7-6	+1.5-198	o9-120	+102
Guardians 4-6	u0.5	-1.5+164	u9+100	-121

Tuesday 10:10 p.m.

May 21, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

F.Lindor o1.5 Total Bases-110

1.5u

NYM +108

Over 9.5+110

1.1u

J.Martinez o1.5 Total Bases+100

Projection leans to the over

A.Houser u3.5 Ks-170

Projection leans to the under and +ev bet with devig odds of -252

C.Carrasco u16.5 Outs-110

1.1u

Under in 6/9 starts - frequently with a short hook the third time through the order (1.051 OPS allowed). Struggles more vs lefties, and should see 5 of them today. Guardians bullpen is rested with an off day coming on Thursday. Also, we have some fantastic hitting conditions in Cleveland today.

Over 9-115

0.5u

Bet to -120 or 9.5 (-101)

CLE -112

0.5u

Bet to -115

Under 9-105

0.53u

Featured Insight
Mets hitters have a groundball rate of 51% over the last week -- tied for highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Guardians over the last week -- fourth lowest in MLB.

TRY FOR FREE

Featured Insight
Guardians have struck out just 15% over the last week -- lowest in MLB. Mets have a strikeout rate of just 19% over the last week -- fifth lowest in MLB.

TRY FOR FREE

Mets vs. Guardians: Market Too Low on Cleveland?
Sean Paul•
May 21, 2024 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Tuesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
May 21, 2024 UTC
The +300 SGP for Mets vs. Guardians
Nick Martin•
May 21, 2024 UTC
Koerner's Best Bets for Tuesday's MLB Strikeout Leader
Sean Koerner•
May 21, 2024 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Mets are just 9-47 (.161) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Mets are just 4-90 (.043) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.

The Guardians are 13-75 (.148) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .102.

Brett Baty has an OPS of just .602 since last season -- 15th worst among hitters with at least 309 total PA's-- fourth Percentile. Emmanuel Clase has allowed an OPS of just .556 (389 PAs) since last season -- 13th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Brett Baty has an OPS of just .600 since the 2022 season -- 10th worst among hitters with at least 552 total PA's-- third Percentile. Emmanuel Clase has allowed an OPS of just .502 (660 PAs) since the 2022 season -- fifth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Carlos Carrasco has walked 11 of 81 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- sixth Percentile.

Adrian Houser has a strikeout rate of just 11% (17 SO in 157 PAs) this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 3% (1/31) against Adrian Houser over the last 14 days -- lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 27% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 20th	NYM	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 9	CLE -125
May 19th	MIN	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE -116
May 18th	MIN	W 11-4	+1.5 W	O 7	CLE +102
May 17th	MIN	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CLE -130
May 16th	@TEX	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 8.5	TEX +160

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Houser, P	72	5	4	6
LJ.Diekman, P	22	0.2	2	1
RJ.Lopez, P	16	1.1	1	0
RS.Reid-Foley, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	2-5	0	0	1
2P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
3B.Nimmo, LF	1-4	0	0	0
3B.Nimmo, CF	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Martinez, DH	1-4	0	0	0
5T.Taylor, CF	0-3	0	0	0
5D.Stewart, PH	0-0	1	0	0
5D.Stewart, LF	0-0	1	0	0
6S.Marte, RF	1-4	1	1	2
7M.Vientos, 3B	2-4	2	1	1
8J.McNeil, 2B	2-4	2	1	2
9T.Nido, C	1-3	0	0	0
9H.Bader, PH	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RX.Curry, P	66	4.1	2	2
RN.Sandlin, P	13	0.2	2	0
LS.Hentges, P	16	1	1	2
RH.Gaddis, P	13	1	1	0
RS.Barlow, P	19	0.2	1	2
LT.Herrin, P	4	0.1	0	0
RE.Clase, P	13	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Freeman, CF	1-3	2	0	1
2A.Gimenez, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	2-4	1	1	3
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5W.Brennan, LF	1-4	1	0	0
6K.Manzardo, DH	1-2	0	0	0
6D.Fry, PH	1-1	1	1	2
6D.Fry, DH	1-1	1	1	2
7J.Rodriguez, RF	0-4	0	0	0
8B.Naylor, C	0-2	1	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-2	1	0	1