Mets vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - June 23, 2023

Mets at Phillies

11:05 pm • Apple TV+

New York Mets

7-6

1 - 5

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Walker			4.38	15-6
K.Senga			2.98	12-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 7-6	-1.5+152	o9.5-110	-105
Phillies 1-3	+1.5-181	u9.5-110	-112

Friday 11:05 p.m.

June 23, 2023

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

PHI -110

0.5u

K.Senga u16.5 Outs-125

MGM. Between Senga’s road struggles (4.78 ERA, under in 5/6) and the weather (favorable hitting conditions with a risk of mid-game rain delay), I’m pulling on this. Plus PHI have really climbed the pitches per PA leaderboard since Harper is back.

K.Senga o5.5 Ks-130

0.77u

K.Schwarber o0.5 HR+280

0.25u

Over 9.5-105

0.53u

Over 9-120

0.6u

Bet to -125 or 9.5 (-105)

PHI -110

0.5u

Bet to -110. Friday

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The Mets are just 7-14 (.333) after a road loss this season -- tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .457.

The Mets are just 2-7 (.222) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.

The Phillies are 76-49 (.608) after a win since last season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .519.

The Phillies are 23-15 (.605) after a win this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .523.

41% of Daniel Vogelbach strikeouts are looking since last season -- second highest among hitters with at least 352 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. 32% of Craig Kimbrel strikeouts are looking since last season -- tied for 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Brandon Nimmo is batting .306 on breaking pitches this season -- ninth best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Andrew Vasquez has thrown his slider 74% of the time this season -- highest among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

Kodai Senga has walked 41 of 307 batters (13%) this season -- 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 8% -- third Percentile.

Kodai Senga has a strike rate of just 58% (209/357) in two strike counts this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 65% -- first Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 53% of Taijuan Walker's pitches (199/377) with two-strikes this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 22nd	ATL	L 1-5	-1.5 L	U 8	ATL -123
Jun 20th	ATL	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 8.5	ATL +125
Jun 18th	@ATH	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	PHI -220
Jun 17th	@ATH	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 9.5	PHI -180
Jun 17th	@ATH	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	PHI -142

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Senga, P	102	5.1	6	2
LJ.Walker, P	11	0.1	0	1
RJ. Brigham, P	7	0.1	0	0
LB.Raley, P	15	1	1	0
RV.Nittoli, P	10	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	1-4	1	1	1
2S.Marte, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	1-3	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5D.Vogelbach, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6T.Pham, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7J.McNeil, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8F.Alvarez, C	0-3	0	0	0
9B.Baty, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
9M.Canha, PH	0-0	0	0	0
9M.Canha, 3B	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Walker, P	91	6	5	1
LG.Soto, P	12	1	3	0
LJ.Alvarado, P	14	1	1	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	21	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Schwarber, LF	0-3	1	0
2T.Turner, SS	1-3	1	2
3N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	0	0
4B.Harper, DH	1-3	0	1
5J.Realmuto, C	0-2	0	0
6B.Stott, 2B	1-3	1	1
7A.Bohm, 1B	1-4	1	0
8B.Marsh, CF	3-4	1	1
9E.Sosa, 3B	0-4	0	0