Mets vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - September 14, 2024

Mets at Phillies

8:05 pm • SNY

New York Mets

7-6

4 - 6

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Allard			5.00	2-0
L.Severino			3.91	11-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 7-6	-1.5+160	o9-111	+102
Phillies 1-3	+1.5-192	u9-108	-121

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

September 14, 2024

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

Under 9-115

0.58u

Bet to 8.5 (-104)

PHI -102

0.5u

Bet to -108

Featured Insight
Mets right-handed hitters have struck out just 5% against LHP over the last week -- second lowest in MLB. Phillies have a strikeout rate of just 17% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- third lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Phillies have allowed a run just 27% of the time after an opposing score this season -- third lowest in MLB. The Mets have answered-back in just 25% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Mets vs. Phillies: F5 Prediction for NL East Battle
Nick Martin•
Sep 14, 2024 UTC

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The Mets are 10-131 (.071) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .051.

Bryson Stott is batting .296 on breaking pitches this season -- tied for seventh best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Edwin Diaz has thrown his slider 51% of the time this season -- 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

J.D. Martinez has struck out in 29% of PA's this season -- eighth highest in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Jeff Hoffman has a strikeout rate of 34% this season -- 13th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .197 (45-for-229) against Luis Severino when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 -- 89th Percentile.

Luis Severino has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (239/558) with runners in scoring position this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 13th	NYM	L 3-11	-1.5 L	O 8.5	NYM -156
Sep 11th	TB	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7	PHI -230
Sep 10th	TB	W 9-4	-1.5 W	O 7.5	PHI -185
Sep 9th	TB	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 8	PHI -198
Sep 8th	@MIA	L 1-10	-1.5 L	O 8.5	MIA -135

Max Kepler
OF
Kepler is out with knee
Out

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	86	6	5	3
LD.Young, P	5	0.1	0	2
RR.Garrett, P	23	0.2	2	0
RR.Stanek, P	13	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Iglesias, 2B	2-5	1	0
2M.Vientos, 3B	2-5	1	0
3B.Nimmo, LF	1-5	1	0
3B.Nimmo, CF	1-5	1	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-3	1	0
5J.Martinez, DH	0-3	0	0
6S.Marte, RF	2-2	0	3
7F.Alvarez, C	0-4	0	0
8H.Bader, CF	0-3	0	0
8J.Winker, PH	0-1	0	0
8J.Winker, LF	0-1	0	0
9L.Acuna, SS	2-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LK.Allard, P	67	3	3	3
RT.Walker, P	37	3	0	0
RO.Kerkering, P	12	1	1	0
RJ.Hoffman, P	9	1	0	0
RC.Estevez, P	19	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-3	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	0-3	1	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	2-4	2	2	3
4N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	1	0	0
5B.Stott, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
6J.Realmuto, C	2-4	1	0	1
7B.Marsh, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8K.Clemens, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
8W.Wilson, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8W.Wilson, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
9C.Stevenson, CF	2-3	0	0	2