Mets vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - July 5, 2024

Mets at Pirates

10:40 pm • SNY

New York Mets

16-7

2 - 14

Pittsburgh Pirates

8-15

pitcher		team	era	w-l
P.Skenes			1.96	11-3
L.Severino			3.91	11-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 16-7	+1.5-172	o8-102	+120
Pirates 8-15	-1.5+145	u8-116	-142

Friday 10:40 p.m.

July 05, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

P.Skenes o7.5 Ks-130

P.Skenes o7.5 Ks-102

1.96u

NYM +120

Under 8-109

1.09u

B.Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases+125

0.5u

PIT -138

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-125

P.Skenes o7.5 Ks-122

0.82u

PIT -130

NYM +105

Featured Insight
Mets have allowed a run just 28% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season -- fourth lowest in MLB. The Pirates have answered-back in just 27% of innings after an opponent scores since the 2022 season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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The Mets are 8-25 (.242) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Mets are just 83-18 (.822) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

J.D. Martinez has struck out in 27% of PA's since the 2022 season -- seventh highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 36% since the 2022 season -- fifth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (22/146) against Luis Severino this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 2-8 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Pirates' 13 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	8-15	6-7	2-8	4-7	4-8
Mets	11-12	6-5	5-7	8-10	3-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	10-12-1	8-5	2-7-1	5-6	5-6-1
Mets	8-15	4-7	4-8	8-10	0-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	8-15	6-7	2-8	5-6	3-9
Mets	16-7	10-1	6-6	14-4	2-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 4th	STL	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 9	STL -108
Jul 3rd	STL	W 5-4	-	O 8.5	PIT -123
Jul 2nd	STL	L 4-7	-1.5 L	O 8	STL -122
Jun 30th	@ATL	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 9	PIT +164
Jun 29th	@ATL	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	ATL +120

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with knee
Out
Jose Siri
OF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Jeff McNeil
IF
McNeil is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Francisco Alvarez
C
Alvarez is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Jared Jones
P
Jones is out with elbow
Out
Jared Triolo
IF
Triolo is questionable with back
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
IF
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	91	6	3	7
LJ.Diekman, P	10	0	0	1
RT.Adcock, P	46	1.2	1	6
RL.Torrens, P	3	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	0-3	0	0	0
2B.Nimmo, LF	0-3	0	0	0
3J.Martinez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	2-3	1	0	0
4B.Gamel, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5D.Stewart, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6F.Alvarez, C	1-3	0	0	0
7J.Iglesias, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
8J.McNeil, 2B	1-3	1	1	1
9H.Bader, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RP.Skenes, P		107	7	8	2
RD.Jefferies, P		29	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Palacios, RF	1-3	3	0	0
2B.Reynolds, DH	4-5	3	2	6
3O.Cruz, SS	2-4	1	0	0
4R.Tellez, 1B	2-4	2	2	5
5N.Gonzales, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Suwinski, LF	1-4	1	1	1
7K.Hayes, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
7J.Triolo, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
8Y.Grandal, C	2-4	2	1	1
9M.Taylor, CF	4-4	2	1	1