Pirates vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - June 30, 2024

Pirates at Braves

3:35 pm • Roku

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

4 - 2

Atlanta Braves

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Schwellenbach			3.35	8-7
B.Falter			4.43	8-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 0-0	+1.5-122	o9-109	+164
Braves 0-2	-1.5+102	u9-111	-198

Sunday 3:35 p.m.

June 30, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

B.Reynolds o1.5 Total Bases+100

S.Schwellenbach o4.5 Ks-140

0.71u

PIT +1.5-125

0.8u

PIT +1.5-130

0.77u

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Under 9.5-115

0.87u

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Featured Insight
The Braves have scored in at least three different innings in 54% of their games since the 2022 season -- second highest in MLB. Pirates have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 50% of their games since the 2022 season -- fifth highest in MLB.

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The Braves are 17-73 (.189) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

Matt Olson has an OPS of .868 since the 2022 season -- 12th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Josh Fleming has allowed an OPS of .846 (502 PAs) since the 2022 season -- worst among qualified RPs-- 0 Percentile.

Ozzie Albies has a swing rate of 45% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- sixth highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .250 (11-for-44) against Bailey Falter on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- ninth best among qualified SPs-- 87th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 41% (64/157) against Spencer Schwellenbach this month (4 games) -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 28% -- 99th Percentile.

Spencer Schwellenbach has not allowed a home run in any of the last 20.2 innings he's appeared -- Cristopher Sanchez has the longest active streak at 68.2.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (47/139) against Bailey Falter with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 29th	PIT	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 7.5	ATL -142
Jun 28th	PIT	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 9	ATL -218
Jun 27th	@CWS	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 8	CWS -285
Jun 26th	@STL	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	STL -120
Jun 26th	@STL	W 6-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	ATL -125

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Marco Gonzales
P
Gonzales is out with arm
Out
Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	81	5	5	1
RK.Nicolas, P	31	2	3	0
RC.Mlodzinski, P	13	1	1	0
LA.Chapman, P	19	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	0-3	0	0	0
1C.Joe, PH	0-2	0	0	0
1C.Joe, DH	0-2	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3O.Cruz, SS	2-3	1	1	2
4E.Olivares, RF	1-3	1	0	0
4M.Taylor, CF	0-0	0	0	0
5R.Tellez, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
6N.Gonzales, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
7J.Bart, C	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Triolo, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Suwinski, CF	0-3	1	0	0
9J.Suwinski, RF	0-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Schwellenbach, P	85	5	7	4
RG.Holmes, P	33	3	4	0
LA.Bummer, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Kelenic, CF	0-4	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	1-4	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-3	1	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-3	0	0
5A.Riley, 3B	0-3	0	0
6A.Duvall, RF	1-3	1	0
7S.Murphy, C	2-4	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	0-2	0	1
9L.Williams, LF	0-2	0	0
9T.d'Arnaud, PH	0-1	0	0
9F.Wall, LF	0-0	0	0
9Z.Short, PH	0-1	0	0