Mets vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - July 6, 2024

Mets at Pirates

8:05 pm • SportsNet PT

New York Mets

7-6

5 - 2

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Falter			4.43	8-9
D.Peterson			2.90	10-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 7-6	-1.5+120	o9.5-109	-135
Pirates 0-0	+1.5-142	u9.5-111	+114

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

July 06, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

D.Peterson u5.5 Hits Allowed-125

0.96u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-105

PIT +120

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to +107

Featured Insight
Mets RPs have a strikeout rate of 27% this season -- second highest in MLB. Pirates have struck out 25% this season -- fourth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Pirates RPs have a strikeout rate of 29% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- fifth highest in MLB. Mets right-handed hitters have struck out 28% against LHP over the last week -- fifth highest in MLB.

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Pirates vs. Mets: Saturday Moneyline Prediction
D.J. James•
Jul 6, 2024 UTC
Opening Pitch: 3 MLB Over/Unders to Bet on Saturday
Kenny Ducey•
Jul 6, 2024 UTC

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The Mets are 8-26 (.235) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .143.

Oneil Cruz has struck out in 32% of PA's this season -- seventh highest in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Edwin Diaz has a strikeout rate of 35% this season -- tied for 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

48% of fastball strikeouts for Francisco Lindor are located out of the zone this season -- 13th highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. 49% of Bailey Falter fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone this season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (56/90) against David Peterson when he's behind in the count since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 39% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Pirates' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 5th	NYM	W 14-2	-1.5 W	O 8	PIT -142
Jul 4th	STL	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 9	STL -108
Jul 3rd	STL	W 5-4	-	O 8.5	PIT -123
Jul 2nd	STL	L 4-7	-1.5 L	O 8	STL -122
Jun 30th	@ATL	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 9	PIT +164

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Peterson, P	87	4.1	5	2
RJ.Butto, P	16	1.2	0	0
RR.Garrett, P	26	1	2	0
RD.Nunez, P	8	1	1	0
RE.Diaz, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	1-4	1	0
2B.Nimmo, LF	3-4	1	0
3J.Martinez, DH	0-3	1	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-4	0	0
5M.Vientos, 3B	1-4	1	0
5J.McNeil, 2B	0-0	0	0
6L.Torrens, C	3-4	1	3
6F.Alvarez, C	0-0	0	0
7T.Taylor, RF	1-4	0	0
8J.Iglesias, 2B	1-4	0	1
8J.Iglesias, 3B	1-4	0	1
9H.Bader, CF	1-3	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	45	2	2	3
RD.Santana, P	29	2	2	0
RR.Ryan, P	31	3	2	2
LJ.Fleming, P	27	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	2-3	0	0	0
3K.Hayes, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4C.Joe, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
4J.Suwinski, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4J.Suwinski, CF	0-1	0	0	0
5N.Gonzales, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Palacios, RF	1-3	0	0	0
7J.Bart, C	0-2	1	0	0
8O.Cruz, SS	1-3	1	1	2
9M.Taylor, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9R.Tellez, PH	1-2	0	0	0
9R.Tellez, 1B	1-2	0	0	0