Mets vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - July 6, 2024

Mets at Pirates

8:05 pm • SportsNet PT

New York Mets

18-8

5 - 2

Pittsburgh Pirates

11-16

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Falter			4.43	8-9
D.Peterson			2.90	10-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 18-8	-1.5+120	o9.5-109	-135
Pirates 11-16	+1.5-142	u9.5-111	+114

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

July 06, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

D.Peterson u5.5 Hits Allowed-125

0.96u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-105

PIT +120

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to +107

Featured Insight
Mets RPs have a strikeout rate of 27% this season -- second highest in MLB. Pirates have struck out 25% this season -- fourth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Pirates RPs have a strikeout rate of 29% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- fifth highest in MLB. Mets right-handed hitters have struck out 28% against LHP over the last week -- fifth highest in MLB.

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Pirates vs. Mets: Saturday Moneyline Prediction
D.J. James•
Jul 6, 2024 UTC
Opening Pitch: 3 MLB Over/Unders to Bet on Saturday
Kenny Ducey•
Jul 6, 2024 UTC

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The Mets are 8-26 (.235) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .143.

Oneil Cruz has struck out in 32% of PA's this season -- seventh highest in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Edwin Diaz has a strikeout rate of 35% this season -- tied for 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

48% of fastball strikeouts for Francisco Lindor are located out of the zone this season -- 13th highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. 49% of Bailey Falter fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone this season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (56/90) against David Peterson when he's behind in the count since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 39% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 6-8 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Pirates' 13 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	12-15	6-7	6-8	4-7	8-8
Mets	13-13	8-5	5-8	8-11	5-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	11-15-1	8-5	3-10-1	5-6	6-9-1
Mets	8-18	4-9	4-9	8-11	0-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	11-16	6-7	5-9	5-6	6-10
Mets	18-8	12-1	6-7	14-5	4-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 5th	NYM	W 14-2	-1.5 W	O 8	PIT -142
Jul 4th	STL	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 9	STL -108
Jul 3rd	STL	W 5-4	-	O 8.5	PIT -123
Jul 2nd	STL	L 4-7	-1.5 L	O 8	STL -122
Jun 30th	@ATL	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 9	PIT +164

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with knee
Out
Jose Siri
OF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Jared Jones
P
Jones is out with elbow
Out
Jared Triolo
IF
Triolo is questionable with back
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
IF
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Peterson, P	87	4.1	5	2
RJ.Butto, P	16	1.2	0	0
RR.Garrett, P	26	1	2	0
RD.Nunez, P	8	1	1	0
RE.Diaz, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	1-4	1	0
2B.Nimmo, LF	3-4	1	0
3J.Martinez, DH	0-3	1	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-4	0	0
5M.Vientos, 3B	1-4	1	0
5J.McNeil, 2B	0-0	0	0
6L.Torrens, C	3-4	1	3
6F.Alvarez, C	0-0	0	0
7T.Taylor, RF	1-4	0	0
8J.Iglesias, 2B	1-4	0	1
8J.Iglesias, 3B	1-4	0	1
9H.Bader, CF	1-3	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	45	2	2	3
RD.Santana, P	29	2	2	0
RR.Ryan, P	31	3	2	2
LJ.Fleming, P	27	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	2-3	0	0	0
3K.Hayes, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4C.Joe, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
4J.Suwinski, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4J.Suwinski, CF	0-1	0	0	0
5N.Gonzales, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Palacios, RF	1-3	0	0	0
7J.Bart, C	0-2	1	0	0
8O.Cruz, SS	1-3	1	1	2
9M.Taylor, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9R.Tellez, PH	1-2	0	0	0
9R.Tellez, 1B	1-2	0	0	0