Nationals vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - July 27, 2023

Nationals at Mets

11:10 pm • MLB Network

Washington Nationals

8-8

1 - 2

New York Mets

7-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Senga			2.98	12-7
J.Gray			3.91	8-13

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 8-8	+1.5-110	o9-115	+184
Mets 7-9	-1.5-110	u9-105	-225

Thursday 11:10 p.m.

July 27, 2023

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

K.Senga o6.5 Ks+135

Over 9-116

NYM -210

0.5u

NYM -1.5-110

1.1u

Over 9-116

1.16u

NYM -200 (F5)

NYM -190 (F5)

0.95u

Bet to -195

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The Mets are just 3-12 (.200) after a loss as underdogs this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.

Pete Alonso is slugging .585 on breaking pitches this season -- 12th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Josiah Gray has thrown a breaking pitch 51% of the time this season -- sixth highest among qualified SPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Tommy Pham is batting just .189 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- tied for sixth worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Josiah Gray has thrown a breaking pitch 53% of the time since last season -- eighth highest among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Kodai Senga has allowed a slugging percentage of just .130 (13 Total Bases / 100 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .317 -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .375 (18-for-48) against Josiah Gray on low fastballs this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .259 -- third Percentile.

Kodai Senga has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (327/640) of the time this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 62% -- first Percentile.

Josiah Gray has walked 51 of 489 batters (10%) this season -- 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- fourth Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 26th	@NYY	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 8.5	NYY +120
Jul 25th	@NYY	W 9-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM -115
Jul 23rd	@BOS	L 1-6	+1.5 L	U 11	BOS +115
Jul 22nd	@BOS	L 6-8	+1.5 L	O 9.5	BOS +100
Jul 22nd	@BOS	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 3.5	NYM -750

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Gray, P	106	6	4	0
RJ.Weems, P	12	0.2	1	0
LJ.Ferrer, P	3	0.1	0	0
RM.Thompson, P	21	0.1	0	2
RK.Finnegan, P	8	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	1-3	1	0
2L.Thomas, RF	0-4	0	0
3J.Candelario, 3B	0-3	0	0
4J.Meneses, DH	1-4	0	0
5K.Ruiz, C	1-3	0	1
6D.Smith, 1B	0-3	0	0
7C. Dickerson, LF	1-3	0	0
7S.Garrett, LF	0-1	0	0
8L.Garcia, 2B	0-3	0	0
8I.Vargas, PH	0-1	0	0
9A.Call, CF	1-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Senga, P	99	6	5	1
LD.Peterson, P	24	2	0	0
LB.Raley, P	17	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	0-3	0	0
2F.Lindor, SS	0-4	0	0
3J.McNeil, 2B	1-3	1	0
3J.McNeil, RF	1-3	1	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-3	1	0
5D.Vogelbach, DH	1-3	0	1
5D.Mendick, PR	0-0	0	0
5D.Mendick, 2B	0-0	0	0
6D.Stewart, RF	0-3	0	0
7M.Canha, LF	2-3	0	1
8B.Baty, 3B	1-4	0	0
9O.Narvaez, C	0-2	0	0