Nationals vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - September 16, 2024

Nationals at Mets

11:10 pm • MLB Network

Washington Nationals

0-0

1 - 2

New York Mets

7-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Manaea			3.47	12-6
J.Irvin			4.41	10-14

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 0-0	+1.5-128	o7.5+101	+164
Mets 7-6	-1.5+107	u7.5-120	-197

Monday 11:10 p.m.

September 16, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

NYM -1.5+116

NYM -1.5+115

#ProSystem . favs on run line bounce back Overall: 104-65-5,62% (ROI:23%) Season:6-4-0,60% (ROI:22%)

NYM -185

0.54u

NYM -1.5+115

0.99u

Johnny

Featured Insight
Nationals have allowed a run just 27% of the time after an opposing score this season -- fourth lowest in MLB. The Mets have answered-back in just 25% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Mets have scored three or more runs in an inning 94 times (7%) this season -- tied for second highest in MLB. Nationals have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 7% of innings played this season -- fifth highest in MLB.

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The Mets are 10-131 (.071) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .051.

Pete Alonso is batting just .188 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- tied for sixth worst in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 31% of the time since last season -- sixth highest among starting pitchers with at least 124 total CB-- 96th Percentile.

Joey Gallo is batting just .165 since the 2022 season -- worst among hitters with at least 708 total PA's-- 0 Percentile. Left handed batters are hitting just .207 (87-for-421) against Sean Manaea since the 2022 season -- 13th best among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP-- 90th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has a strike rate of 64% when ahead in the count (eighth highest)-- 87th Percentile and 68% when behind in the count this season (tied for eighth lowest among qualified SPs)-- 17th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has walked 28 of 261 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- fifth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 15th	@PHI	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 8	PHI +114
Sep 14th	@PHI	L 4-6	-1.5 L	O 9	PHI +102
Sep 13th	@PHI	W 11-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM +132
Sep 11th	@TOR	W 6-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -130
Sep 10th	@TOR	L 2-6	-1.5 L	U 8	TOR -130

Alex Call
OF
Call is out with foot
Out
Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Cade Cavalli
P
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Irvin, P	94	7.1	5	1
RD.Law, P	16	0.2	1	0
LJ.Ferrer, P	16	1	1	0
RJ.Barnes, P	9	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1D.Crews, RF	0-4	0	0
2J.Wood, LF	1-4	0	0
3J.Yepez, 1B	1-4	1	0
4A.Chaparro, DH	0-3	0	0
4L.Garcia, PH	0-1	0	0
4L.Garcia, DH	0-1	0	0
5J.Tena, 2B	1-4	0	1
6I.Vargas, 3B	0-3	0	0
7K.Ruiz, C	1-4	0	0
8J.Young, CF	1-4	0	0
9N.Nunez, SS	0-2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Manaea, P	85	7	6	1
RJ.Butto, P	15	1	3	0
RE.Diaz, P	15	1	1	0
RR.Garrett, P	9	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Iglesias, SS	2-4	0	1
1J.Iglesias, 2B	2-4	0	1
2J.Winker, RF	0-3	0	0
2L.Acuna, SS	0-0	0	0
3J.Martinez, DH	0-4	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	0	0
5B.Nimmo, LF	1-3	0	0
6M.Vientos, 3B	0-4	0	0
6H.Bader, PR	0-0	1	0
7T.Taylor, CF	1-3	1	0
8F.Alvarez, C	0-4	0	0
9E.Alvarez, 2B	0-2	0	0
9S.Marte, PH	1-2	0	1
9S.Marte, RF	1-2	0	1