Nationals vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - August 4, 2023

Nationals at Reds

10:40 pm • BSOH

Washington Nationals

0-0

6 - 3

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Ashcraft			4.76	7-9
P.Corbin			5.20	10-15

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 0-0	+1.5-115	o10.5-119	+160
Reds 0-0	-1.5-105	u10.5-101	-192

Friday 10:40 p.m.

August 04, 2023

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

CIN -1.5+112

M.McLain o1.5 Total Bases+100

0.5u

Hello darkness my old friend

CIN -1.5+105

1.5u

M.McLain o0.5 HR+425

0.43u

Hello darkness my old friend

CIN -150 (F5)

Incredibly cheap at 365 here; FD has (-158)

Over 10.5-105

0.53u

Bet to -110

CIN -135

$150.00

READ. Reds to not bat bottom 9 -135 via DK

Over 5.5 (F5)-109

1.09u

Over 10.5-103

1.03u

CIN -164 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -175

Featured Insight
The Reds have scored 4.9 runs per game at home this season -- eighth-highest in MLB (54 games). The Nationals have allowed 5.2 runs per game on the road this season -- third-highest in MLB (53 games).

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Featured Insight
Nationals hitters have a groundball rate of 46% since last season -- highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds since last season -- lowest in MLB.

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The Reds are 18-12 (.600) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .431.

The Reds are 48-1 (.980) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .951.

Elly De La Cruz is batting .520 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- eighth best among hitters with at least 159 total PA's-- 96th Percentile. Patrick Corbin has a strike rate of 68% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 93rd Percentile.

32% of Lane Thomas strikeouts are looking since last season -- 14th highest in MLB-- 89th Percentile. 33% of Sam Moll strikeouts are looking since last season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 7.44 (84.2 IP) against division opponents since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 3.96 -- first Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has thrown fastballs 71% of the time (1,172/1,655) vs left-handed batters since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 47% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Reds' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 4th	@CHC	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 10.5	CHC +133
Aug 3rd	@CHC	L 6-16	+1.5 L	O 11	CHC +136
Aug 2nd	@CHC	L 9-20	+1.5 L	O 8.5	CHC +138
Aug 1st	@CHC	W 6-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CIN +106
Jul 30th	@LAD	W 9-0	+1.5 W	U 9.5	CIN +138

Alex Call
OF
Call is out with foot
Out
Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Cade Cavalli
P
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LP.Corbin, P	83	6.1	2	3
RA.Willingham, P	16	0.2	1	0
RJ.Weems, P	22	1	2	0
LJ.Ferrer, P	14	0.1	0	0
RA. Machado, P	8	0.2	1	0
RK.Finnegan, P	15	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	0-5	0	0	0
2L.Thomas, RF	3-5	3	2	3
3J.Meneses, DH	2-4	1	1	2
4K.Ruiz, C	0-4	0	0	0
5D.Smith, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6B. Rutherford, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7I.Vargas, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
8J. Alu, 2B	1-4	1	0	1
9A.Call, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Ashcraft, P	106	8	5	3
RA.Diaz, P	32	1.2	3	2
RD.Duarte, P	4	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.De La Cruz, SS	1-4	1	1	1
2N.Senzel, RF	1-5	1	1	1
3M.McLain, 2B	3-5	1	1	1
4S.Steer, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4S.Steer, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5K.Newman, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
6J. Votto, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6T.Friedl, PR	0-0	0	0	0
6T.Friedl, DH	0-0	0	0	0
7C.Encarnacion-Strand, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
7W.Benson, PR	0-1	0	0	0
7W.Benson, LF	0-1	0	0	0
8T.Stephenson, C	0-3	0	0	0
9S.Fairchild, CF	1-4	0	0	0