Reds vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - August 4, 2023

Reds at Cubs

12:05 am • MARQ

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

3 - 5

Chicago Cubs

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Taillon			4.84	8-10
L.Weaver			3.38	1-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-0	+1.5-138	o10.5-114	+133
Cubs 0-0	-1.5+114	u10.5-108	-162

Friday 12:05 a.m.

August 04, 2023

Wrigley FieldChicago

Over 10.5+100

J.Taillon u17.5 Outs-133

1.2u

Blended rate of MGM and DK (limits). He’s under this line in 9/10 starts at home, sporting a 6.43 ERA and .317 OBA - includes a 4.2 IP performance vs CIN in May. Relies heavily on his 4-seamer and cutter (55% collectively) and the Reds are 7th in wRC vs both pitches. Plus, he’s been hit hard the third time through the order, resulting him being pulled mid-6th inning 5 times in his L11 starts. Reds work the count well and don’t chase.

Under 10.5-115

0.5u

Bet to -122 or 10 (-103)

Over 5.5 (F5)+105

1.05u

Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored 5.1 runs per game over the last week -- fourth-highest in MLB (115 games). The Reds have allowed 5.1 runs per game over the last week -- fifth-highest in MLB (116 games).

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Featured Insight
Reds Right Handed Hitters have struck out 24% against LHP since last season -- sixth-highest in MLB. CubsRPs have a strikeout rate of 25% vs right-handed batters since last season -- ninth-highest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Thursday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Aug 3, 2023 UTC

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The Reds are 18-12 (.600) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .431.

Tucker Barnhart has an OPS of just .553 since last season -- fifth worst among hitters with at least 402 total PA's-- first Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .495 (448 PAs) since last season -- sixth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 3rd	CIN	W 16-6	-1.5 W	O 11	CHC -163
Aug 2nd	CIN	W 20-9	-1.5 W	O 8.5	CHC -168
Aug 1st	CIN	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CIN -126
Jul 30th	@STL	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 8.5	STL +114
Jul 29th	@STL	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 10	CHC -110

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Weaver, P	83	3	5	4
LS.Moll, P	15	1.1	2	0
RD.Duarte, P	12	1.2	1	0
RI.Gibaut, P	17	1	0	0
RF.Cruz, P	15	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.De La Cruz, SS	1-4	1	1	1
2T.Friedl, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3M.McLain, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Fraley, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5S.Steer, 3B	2-4	1	1	1
6J. Votto, DH	0-4	0	0	0
7C.Encarnacion-Strand, 1B	2-3	1	0	0
8W.Benson, LF	2-4	0	0	0
9L.Maile, C	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Taillon, P	92	5	5	2
RM.Leiter, P	18	1.2	4	0
RJ.Merryweather, P	14	1	3	1
RA.Alzolay, P	17	1.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Tauchman, RF	1-4	0	0
2N.Hoerner, 2B	1-4	2	0
3I.Happ, LF	1-2	1	1
4C.Bellinger, CF	1-4	1	1
5D.Swanson, SS	1-3	1	0
6C.Morel, DH	0-3	0	1
7J.Candelario, 1B	1-3	0	1
8Y.Gomes, C	0-3	0	1
9N.Madrigal, 3B	1-4	0	0