Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - September 9, 2024

Orioles at Red Sox

11:10 pm • NESN

Baltimore Orioles

0-1

3 - 12

Boston Red Sox

1-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Bello			4.49	14-8
C.Povich			5.20	3-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 0-1	+1.5-191	o9.5-105	+105
Red Sox 1-0	-1.5+160	u9.5-115	-125

Monday 11:10 p.m.

September 09, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

Over 9.5-105

$2380.95

Over 9.5+100

.tsa wind out in certain ballparks Overall: 903-660-81,58% (ROI:12%) Season:42-39-3,52% (ROI:0%)

Over 9.5-105

0.95u

G.Henderson o0.5 HR+575

0.5u

Featured Insight
The Orioles are batting .271 with RISP since last season -- tied for second best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .279 (365-for-1,306) against Red Sox RPs with RISP since last season -- second worst in MLB.

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The Red Sox are just 14-122 (.103) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Red Sox are just 31-37 (.456) at home this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

Gunnar Henderson is slugging .508 since the 2022 season -- tied for 14th best among hitters with at least 699 total PA's-- 95th Percentile. Brayan Bello has allowed a SLG of .483 vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season -- ninth worst among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP-- seventh Percentile.

Rafael Devers is slugging .541 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has thrown his curveball 31% of the time since the 2022 season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 90th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (102/557) against Brayan Bello since the 2022 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- 99th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 77% (13/17) against Brayan Bello in his last two starts -- highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 8th	CWS	L 2-7	-1.5 L	U 10.5	CWS -275
Sep 7th	CWS	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -211
Sep 6th	CWS	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	BOS -285
Sep 4th	@NYM	L 3-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	NYM +100
Sep 3rd	@NYM	L 2-7	+1.5 L	O 7.5	NYM +110

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Povich, P	76	4.2	5	4
RB.Smith, P	13	0.2	0	4
LG.Soto, P	13	0.2	2	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	25	1	3	2
LC.Irvin, P	19	1	3	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	1-4	1	0	0
2C.Mullins, CF	0-2	0	0	0
2A.Slater, PH	0-2	0	0	0
2A.Slater, LF	0-2	0	0	0
3A.Santander, RF	2-4	1	1	3
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5A.Rutschman, C	2-5	0	0	0
6E.Jimenez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
7C.Cowser, LF	0-2	1	0	0
7C.Cowser, CF	0-2	1	0	0
8C.Mayo, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
9L.Soto, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
9E.Rivera, PH	1-1	0	0	0
9J.Holliday, 2B	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P	101	5.1	5	2
LB.Bernardino, P	10	0.2	0	0
RJ.Winckowski, P	45	3	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	0-5	0	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	3-5	2	0	0
3R.Refsnyder, RF	4-4	2	2	5
4T.O'Neill, DH	3-5	2	2	3
5R.Gonzalez, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
6C.Wong, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
7T.Story, SS	1-4	1	0	0
8D.Jansen, C	0-1	2	0	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	2-4	1	0	4