Red Sox vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - September 3, 2024

Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice The Mets' David Peterson has been an absolute bright star, posting a sensational 2.83 ERA this year, and an even more scintillating 2.11 over his last three outings. His lack of vulnerability to big innings can be found in the 1.08 WHIP over that time frame, as his 2.43 groundball-to-flyball ratio greatly mitigates any possibility of the long ball - a key factor in predicting a low-scoring contest. He also proved that he can take on Boston - way back he allowed two earned runs over six innings of work against the Red Sox. For their part, the Red Sox have also gotten good work from Kutter Crawford, who in his last appearance had a 3.71 ERA and a very strong 0.94 WHIP to show he can contain the Mets bats well. Speaking of bullpens, the Mets have been especially stifling, posting a 1.46 ERA and 0.77 WHIP in the last three games. Though Boston's bullpen has blown up a time or two, their season-long 3.98 ERA is decent enough to not be completely run over. On the offensive side of the ledger, both teams have been underachieving as Boston is batting .206 and the Mets .229 over their last ten games. The Red Sox have been especially weak, averaging only 2.83 runs per game and the Mets have allowed just 2.90 runs per game in that time. Additionally, historical trends between the two sides suggest under. In the last 15 meetings, the record sits at 10-3-2. Umpire Chris Segal has a tendency to see games go over the total, but strong performances on the rubber and weak outputs at the plate should outweigh this trend. Additionally, combining that with the fact that both teams have been under trends of late and with Citi Field's reputation as a pitcher-friendly park, makes the case for a low-scoring game even stronger. The under 8 looks to be a smart play given those factors.

Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice The New York Mets come into this game on a five-game winning streak because of strong starting pitching and timely hitting. David Peterson, the starter for the Mets in this one, has been one of the main reasons for that. He is 8-1 with a 2.83 ERA in 92.1 innings this season. In his last three starts, Peterson has been even better, posting a 2.11 ERA over 21.1 innings. His ability to mix pitches effectively, particularly his slider, has kept hitters off-balance, making him a tough opponent. Kutter Crawford gets the start for the Red Sox, and he's had a problem with consistency all year long. While Crawford has compiled an 8-12 record and a 4.12 ERA, he hasn't fared all that terrific in big spots, allowing some big runs to score. He has fought his command at times - especially of late - which has allowed opponents to build the big inning. With the Mets lineup finding ways to get on base and capitalize when runners are in scoring position, Crawford could be in for a tough outing. The Mets offense has indeed been very productive of late, thanks in large part to Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso. Lindor's hitting .271 with an OPS of .835 while Alonso can still change a game with one swing of his bat, where he has accumulated 30 home runs and 78 RBIs this season. The Mets team batting average over their last five games is .267, a far cry from the run-producing problems of the Red Sox. Boston has scored only three runs in its last three games, and the team's .206 batting average over the last ten games calls into question their recent offensive struggles. The Mets bullpen has been stout, boasting a 1.46 ERA over its last 24.2 innings to slam the door on several games. Meanwhile, the Boston bullpen has been leaky, yielding a 5.33 ERA in its last 52.1 frames before allowing crucial runs. Combined with the Mets' strong home record and the Red Sox's struggles on the road, these factors make New York the clear favorite to extend their winning streak to six games.

NRFI RECORDS L10 Crawford 6-4 Peterson 9-1