Padres vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - June 30, 2023

Padres at Reds

9:10 pm • BSOH

San Diego Padres

4-3

5 - 7

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Ashcraft			4.76	7-9
S.Lugo			3.57	8-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 4-3	-1.5+107	o10.5-114	-147
Reds 0-0	+1.5-130	u10.5-106	+122

Friday 9:10 p.m.

June 30, 2023

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

Under 6 (F5)-110

G.Ashcraft u16.5 Outs-125

1.25u

To say he’s pitched bad of late wouldn’t be doing it any justice. 11.08 ERA since May 1, under in 7/9. His last good start did come against the Padres, but he’s really fallen off since then, and SD is hitting much better since then. Plus, they’re playing in hitter friendly GABP, and SD will work the pitch count as is (3.99 pitches per PA is 3rd highest).

Under 11-110

1.1u

SD -134

Reds (12-16) as home dogs - @studyhallsharp Tail

CIN +114

1.14u

CIN o4.5-140

$50.00

CIN +122

0.61u

Bet to +118

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The Padres are just 33-7 (.825) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .893.

The Padres are just 7-40 (.149) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

Trent Grisham has an OPS of just .655 since last season -- sixth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .469 (396 PAs) since last season -- third best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Trent Grisham has struck out in 28% of PA's since last season -- fourth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Alexis Diaz has a strikeout rate of 35% since last season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has an average spin rate of 2777.1 RPM on sliders since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 2402.0 -- 99th Percentile.

Seth Lugo allowed a batting average of .279 vs right-handed batters (10th worst)-- ninth Percentile and just .165 vs left-handed batters last season (tied for ninth best among qualified RPs)-- 91st Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has averaged 96.9 MPH on fastballs since last season -- 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 -- 95th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Reds' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 28th	@BAL	W 11-7	+1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN +140
Jun 27th	@BAL	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 8	CIN +131
Jun 26th	@BAL	L 3-10	+1.5 L	O 10	BAL +110
Jun 25th	ATL	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 11	ATL +182
Jun 24th	ATL	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 12	ATL +115

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Lugo, P	94	6	6	0
RB.Honeywell, P	19	0.1	0	1
RN.Martinez, P	14	1.2	1	0
LJ.Hader, P	20	1	3	0
LR.Kerr, P	14	1	0	1
RD. Carlton, P	14	0.2	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	1-5	1	0	1
2J.Soto, LF	3-5	0	0	1
3M.Machado, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
4X.Bogaerts, SS	1-5	2	0	0
5J.Cronenworth, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
6G.Sanchez, C	2-4	0	0	1
7M.Carpenter, DH	0-2	0	0	1
7N. Cruz, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7N. Cruz, DH	0-1	0	0	0
8R. Odor, 2B	0-4	1	0	0
8H.Kim, PH	0-0	0	0	0
8H.Kim, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
9T.Grisham, CF	1-4	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Ashcraft, P	94	6.2	7	1
RL.Sims, P	19	1.1	2	0
RA.Diaz, P	13	1	0	1
RI.Gibaut, P	11	1	0	1
LA.Young, P	9	0.2	0	0
RD.Duarte, P	9	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	0-5	0	0	0
2M.McLain, SS	1-5	1	1	2
3J.India, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
4E.De La Cruz, DH	2-5	1	0	1
4E.De La Cruz, 3B	2-5	1	0	1
5J.Fraley, RF	1-3	0	0	1
5K.Newman, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5K.Newman, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
5K.Newman, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
6J. Votto, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6N.Senzel, PH	0-2	1	0	0
6N.Senzel, RF	0-2	1	0	0
7S.Steer, 3B	2-3	1	1	2
7S.Steer, 1B	2-3	1	1	2
7S.Steer, LF	2-3	1	1	2
8T.Stephenson, C	2-4	2	1	1
9W.Benson, LF	1-3	0	0	0
9L.Maile, PH	0-1	0	0	0