Phillies vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - September 21, 2024

Phillies at Mets

8:10 pm • SNY

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

3 - 6

New York Mets

7-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Manaea			3.47	12-6
R.Suarez			3.47	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 1-3	-1.5	-1.5+175	o7.5-105	-105
Mets 7-6	u7	+1.5-210	u7.5-115	-115

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

September 21, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

PHI +100

Over 7.5-101

0.99u

Over 7.5+100

0.5u

Bet to -110

Featured Insight
Phillies have allowed a run just 27% of the time after an opposing score this season -- tied for second lowest in MLB. The Mets have answered-back in just 26% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mets left-handed hitters have struck out just 14% against RHP over the last week -- lowest in MLB. Phillies RPs have a strikeout rate of just 17% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- second lowest in MLB.

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Our MLB Best Bets for Saturday
Action Network Staff•
Sep 21, 2024 UTC

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The Phillies are 74-4 (.949) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .900.

Kyle Schwarber has struck out in 29% of PA's this season -- 10th highest in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Reed Garrett has a strikeout rate of 34% this season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Bryson Stott is slugging just .382 since the 2022 season -- fourth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Sean Manaea has allowed a SLG of just .335 vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season -- tied for ninth best among starting pitchers with at least 190 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 53% of Ranger Suarez's pitches (629/1,194) with two-strikes since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 60% -- first Percentile.

25 of Ranger Suarez's 105 breaking pitch strikeouts (24%) have been backdoor since the 2022 season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 190 total IP; League Avg: 13% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 20th	PHI	L 2-12	+1.5 L	O 7.5	PHI +105
Sep 19th	PHI	W 10-6	-1.5 W	O 8	NYM -142
Sep 18th	WSH	W 10-0	-1.5 W	O 7	NYM -175
Sep 17th	WSH	W 10-1	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -176
Sep 16th	WSH	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 7.5	NYM -197

Max Kepler
OF
Kepler is out with knee
Out

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Suarez, P	91	5	4	2
RJ.Ruiz, P	20	1	0	0
RO.Kerkering, P	25	0.2	2	3
LJ.Alvarado, P	4	0.1	1	0
LT.Banks, P	19	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	1-4	1	1	1
2T.Turner, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Bohm, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5N.Castellanos, RF	1-3	1	1	1
6J.Realmuto, C	1-3	1	0	0
7E.Sosa, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
7B.Stott, PH	1-1	0	0	0
7B.Stott, 2B	1-1	0	0	0
8W.Wilson, LF	0-2	0	0	0
8B.Marsh, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8B.Marsh, LF	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9C.Stevenson, PH	0-1	0	0	1
9C.Stevenson, CF	0-1	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Manaea, P	89	7	6	3
RR.Garrett, P	10	0.2	0	0
RE.Diaz, P	17	1.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Iglesias, 2B	2-5	1	0	0
1J.Iglesias, 3B	2-5	1	0	0
2S.Marte, DH	0-3	1	0	0
3M.Vientos, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
3E.Alvarez, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-1	1	0	1
5B.Nimmo, LF	1-5	1	0	1
6T.Taylor, RF	1-4	0	0	0
7F.Alvarez, C	2-4	1	1	3
8H.Bader, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9L.Acuna, SS	2-3	1	1	1