Phillies vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - September 20, 2024
Phillies at Mets
11:10 pm • Apple TV+Starting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 2.90 | 10-3 | |
 |  | 3.32 | 11-9 |
Phillies at Mets Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Phillies 12-8 | -1.5 | -1.5+145 | o7.5-105 | -125 |
Mets 13-7 | u7 | +1.5-175 | u7.5-115 | +105 |
Citi FieldFlushing, Queens
Phillies vs. Mets Expert Picks
Nick Martin
Last 30d: 126-152-7 (+18.7u)
Over 7.5-105
0.48u
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 209-223-6 (-0.9u)
NYM -102
1.02u
Prop Hunter
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
T.Turner To Record 2+ Total Bases Yes+110
1.1u
Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 194-202-2 (-6.2u)
J.Iglesias o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120
0.83u
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 145-157-5 (+21.5u)
PHI -105
0.95u
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 102-110-4 (-24.9u)
PHI -105
0.95u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 409-575-16 (+4.8u)
Under 7.5-110
1u
#ProSystem
. under for winning teams including wind direction and temps
Overall: 556-323-48,63% (ROI:21%)
Season:8-5-0,62% (ROI:18%)
PvB Bets
Last 30d: 5-4-0 (+0.1u)
D.Peterson o1.5 BB-120
1u
D. Peterson ⬆️ 1.5 Walks (-125 @ DraftKings)
THE BAT X 📽️: 1.88 Walks
Peterson has cleared this mark in 68% of starts this season, averaging over 2 walks per game. He gets a tough matchup today against Philly despite only walking one PHI in his last start. PHI ranks 9th in walk-rate vs LHP over L30.
Peterson has some interesting splits too:
BB% Home: **10.3%**
BB% Away: 8.4%
BB% vs RHB: 10.6%
BB% vs LHB: 5.1%
He gets the home start tonight and let's take a look at the Philly projected lineup:
DH K. Schwarber L
SS Trea Turner R
1B Bryce Harper L
3B Alec Bohm R
RF N. Castellanos R
C J. Realmuto R
LF B. Marsh L
CF Johan Rojas R
2B W. Wilson R
So we only get 3 lefties tonight and all 3 of those lefties hold walk-rates over 10%. Before last start vs PHI, he's cleared this mark in 3 starts prior vs Philly in his career. To top it all off, he has yet to have consecutive starts this season under 2 walks and is coming off a 1-walk effort last start.
SpenceBets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-130
1.3u
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 174-181-19 (-0.5u)
PHI -105
0.5u
Bet to -107
PHI -104 (F5)
0.5u
Bet to -112
PRO Insights
Phillies
PHI Insights
- Featured InsightPhillies have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score this season -- second lowest in MLB. The Mets have answered-back in just 25% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- fifth lowest in MLB.
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Mets
NYM Insights
- Featured InsightMets RPs have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last week -- tied for third highest in MLB. Phillies have struck out 30% over the last week -- second highest in MLB.
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Phillies vs. Mets Previews & Analysis
Phillies vs. Mets Notes
Keys to the Game
The Phillies are 74-4 (.949) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
Matchup Contrasts
Kyle Schwarber struck out in 30% of PA's in the 2022 season -- fourth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Edwin Diaz had a strikeout rate of 50% in the 2022 season -- highest among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.
Kyle Schwarber has struck out in 28% of PA's this season -- 11th highest in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Edwin Diaz has a strikeout rate of 38% this season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (132/213) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (311/530) against Cristopher Sanchez this season -- 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- 96th Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Phillies vs. Mets Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Mets are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Mets are 5-7 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' 8 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Mets vs. Phillies Injury Updates
Mets Injuries
- Frankie MontasP
Montas is out with back
Out
- Sean ManaeaP
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
- Paul BlackburnP
Blackburn is out with knee
Out
- Jose SiriOF
Siri is out with leg
Out
- Jeff McNeilIF
McNeil is out with oblique
Out
- Nick MadrigalIF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
- Francisco AlvarezC
Alvarez is out with hand
Out
- Ronny MauricioIF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
- Christian ScottP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Phillies Injuries
- Ranger SuarezP
Suarez is out with back
Out
- Weston WilsonOF
Wilson is out with oblique
Out
Phillies vs. Mets Box Score
Phillies Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 98 | 5 | 7 | 2 | |
 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Mets Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 64 | 3.2 | 4 | 4 | |
 | 14 | 0.1 | 1 | 3 | |
 | 36 | 1.1 | 1 | 2 | |
 | 28 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Phillies vs. Mets Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Phillies at Mets Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Phillies 12-8 | o3.5-130 | u3.5+100 |
Mets 13-7 | o3.5-110 | u3.5-120 |