PHI @ BAL
8:05 pm • MASNStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 3.72 | 9-3 | |
 |  | 5.60 | 3-3 |
Phillies vs. Orioles Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Phillies 55-29 | +1.5-130 | o8-113 | +156 | |
Orioles 53-31 | -1.5+110 | u8-108 | -186 | |
Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore
PRO Insights
Phillies
PHI Insights
- Featured InsightPhillies RPs have a strikeout rate of 36% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- second highest in MLB. Orioles left-handed hitters have struck out 28% against RHP over the last week -- fifth highest in MLB.
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Orioles
BAL Insights
- Featured InsightOrioles have won 64% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- best in MLB. Phillies have won just 41% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- fourth worst in MLB.
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Phillies vs. Orioles Game Analysis
Phillies vs. Orioles Notes
Keys to the Game
The Orioles are 5-17 (.227) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .112.
The Phillies are 41-5 (.891) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Orioles are 15-6 (.714) after a road win this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .458.
The Phillies are 6-1 (.857) after a home loss this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Matchup Contrasts
64% of Bryce Harper fastball strikeouts are elevated since the 2022 season -- fifth highest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. 69% of Grayson Rodriguez fastball strikeouts are elevated since the 2022 season -- sixth highest among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP-- 95th Percentile.
Alec Bohm is slugging .551 on breaking pitches this season -- 10th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has thrown his curveball 30% of the time this season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 86th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Opponents have a line drive rate of 41% (14/34) against Grayson Rodriguez with runners in scoring position this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- first Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 69 of Taijuan Walker's 373 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 18%) since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 31% -- 0 Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 107 of Taijuan Walker's 501 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 21%) since the 2022 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 35% -- first Percentile.
Phillies vs. Orioles Expert Picks
Popular Props
Last 5 Matchups
Betting Trends
- Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Orioles are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Orioles are 22-16 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Orioles' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Orioles' 46 last games at home
Phillies vs. Orioles Public Betting
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Phillies vs. Orioles Injury Updates
Phillies Injuries
Taijuan Walker
PWalker is out with finger
Out
Kyle Schwarber
DHSchwarber is out with groin
Out
Bryce Harper
IFHarper is out with hamstring
Out
Spencer Turnbull
PTurnbull is out with back
Out
Orioles Injuries
Dean Kremer
PKremer is out with triceps
Out
John Means
PMeans is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Tyler Wells
PWells is out with elbow
Out
Phillies vs. Orioles Box Score
Phillies Player Stats
Projected| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RT.Walker, P | 92 | 5.2 | 4 | 3 | |
| LG.Soto, P | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| RJ.Ruiz, P | 27 | 1.1 | 1 | 3 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1K.Schwarber, DH | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2N.Castellanos, RF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3B.Harper, 1B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4A.Bohm, 3B | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5B.Stott, 2B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6E.Sosa, SS | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7B.Marsh, LF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8G.Stubbs, C | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9J.Rojas, CF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Orioles Player Stats
Projected| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RG.Rodriguez, P | 99 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |
| RB.Baker, P | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| RC.Kimbrel, P | 16 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1G.Henderson, SS | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2A.Rutschman, C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3R.Mountcastle, 1B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4R.O'Hearn, DH | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4J.Mateo, PR | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4J.Mateo, DH | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5A.Santander, RF | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 6J.Westburg, 2B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7C.Mullins, CF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8C.Cowser, LF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8A.Hays, PH | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 8A.Hays, LF | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 9R.Urias, 3B | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Line Move Data
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Phillies vs. Orioles Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Phillies 55-29 | N/A | N/A |
Orioles 53-31 | N/A | N/A |