Phillies vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - June 15, 2024

Phillies at Orioles

8:05 pm • MASN

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

2 - 6

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Rodriguez			3.86	13-4
T.Walker			7.10	3-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 1-3	+1.5-130	o8-113	+156
Orioles 0-2	-1.5+110	u8-108	-186

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

June 15, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

PHI +120 (Live)

PHI +1.5-125

N.Castellanos o1.5 Total Bases+127

Nicky 2 Cigs and fat geeb to the dome piece

B.Harper o1.5 Total Bases+127

Talk to em nice Bryce

BAL -1.5+114

$599.64

Play -1

BAL -185

$525.95

Play -1

BAL -1.5+120

1.2u

Over 8.5+104

$50.00

B.Stott o0.5 SB+475

0.25u

Stott is skied up and kicking down the Orioles front door

G.Rodriguez u5.5 Ks+125

0.5u

System play vs the Phillies - 6, 4, 10 L3

G.Henderson o1.5 Total Bases+105

1.05u

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

BAL -180 (F5)

0.9u

Bet to -200

PHI +1.5-135

1.5u

Taijuan Runner is bout to be dialed

PHI +150

0.5u

Lil half uski for the vibrations

Featured Insight
Phillies RPs have a strikeout rate of 36% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- second highest in MLB. Orioles left-handed hitters have struck out 28% against RHP over the last week -- fifth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Orioles have won 64% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- best in MLB. Phillies have won just 41% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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The Orioles are 5-17 (.227) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .112.

The Phillies are 41-5 (.891) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Orioles are 15-6 (.714) after a road win this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .458.

The Phillies are 6-1 (.857) after a home loss this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

64% of Bryce Harper fastball strikeouts are elevated since the 2022 season -- fifth highest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. 69% of Grayson Rodriguez fastball strikeouts are elevated since the 2022 season -- sixth highest among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

Alec Bohm is slugging .551 on breaking pitches this season -- 10th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has thrown his curveball 30% of the time this season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 86th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 41% (14/34) against Grayson Rodriguez with runners in scoring position this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- first Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 69 of Taijuan Walker's 373 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 18%) since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 31% -- 0 Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 107 of Taijuan Walker's 501 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 21%) since the 2022 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 35% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 14th	PHI	L 3-5	-1.5 L	O 7	PHI -140
Jun 13th	ATL	L 3-6	+1.5 L	U 9	ATL -113
Jun 12th	ATL	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 9	BAL -120
Jun 11th	ATL	W 4-0	+1.5 W	U 7.5	BAL +120
Jun 10th	@TB	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 7	BAL -136

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Walker, P	92	5.2	4	3
LG.Soto, P	18	1	2	0
RJ.Ruiz, P	27	1.1	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2N.Castellanos, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
4A.Bohm, 3B	2-4	0	0	1
5B.Stott, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
6E.Sosa, SS	1-4	1	1	1
7B.Marsh, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8G.Stubbs, C	1-4	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Rodriguez, P	99	7	6	2
RB.Baker, P	11	1	1	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	16	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	2-5	0	0	1
2A.Rutschman, C	0-3	0	0	1
3R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, DH	2-4	0	0	0
4J.Mateo, PR	0-0	1	0	0
4J.Mateo, DH	0-0	1	0	0
5A.Santander, RF	2-2	2	2	4
6J.Westburg, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7C.Mullins, CF	1-3	0	0	0
8C.Cowser, LF	0-2	0	0	0
8A.Hays, PH	1-2	1	0	0
8A.Hays, LF	1-2	1	0	0
9R.Urias, 3B	2-4	1	0	0