Phillies vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - July 28, 2023

Phillies at Pirates

11:05 pm • SportsNet PT

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

2 - 1

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Keller			4.21	13-9
Z.Wheeler			3.61	13-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 1-3	-1.5+102	o8.5-110	-167
Pirates 0-0	+1.5-122	u8.5-110	+138

Friday 11:05 p.m.

July 28, 2023

PNC ParkPittsburgh

M.Keller o17.5 Outs-114

PIT +145 (F5)

0.5u

Need +145

Z.Wheeler o6.5 Ks-145

0.28u

M.Keller o17.5 Outs-162

$175.00

PIT +145

0.5u

Bet to +133

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The Pirates are just 7-12 (.368) after a road win this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .492.

The Phillies are just 24-41 (.369) after a road loss since last season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.

48% of fastball strikeouts for J.T. Realmuto were located out of the zone last season -- tied for 13th highest in MLB-- 88th Percentile. 46% of Mitch Keller fastball strikeouts were located out of the zone last season -- 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 87th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .460 (23-for-50) against Zack Wheeler on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .340 -- fourth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .175 (10-for-57) against Mitch Keller on low fastballs this season -- tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .259 -- 94th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (1,273/2,974) in non-two strike counts since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Pirates' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 26th	@SD	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	PIT +159
Jul 26th	@SD	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	SD +230
Jul 25th	@SD	W 8-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	PIT +220
Jul 23rd	@LAA	L 5-7	+1.5 L	O 9	LAA +104
Jul 23rd	@LAA	W 3-0	+1.5 W	U 9.5	PIT +155

Max Kepler
OF
Kepler is out with knee
Out
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Wheeler, P	90	6.2	11	1
RJ.Hoffman, P	9	0.2	2	0
LG.Soto, P	12	0.2	0	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	2-2	1	1	2
2T.Turner, SS	0-5	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4N.Castellanos, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5B.Stott, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
6J.Realmuto, C	1-4	0	0	0
7A.Bohm, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
8B.Marsh, CF	1-3	1	0	0
9J.Cave, LF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	108	5.2	8	2
LR.Borucki, P	12	1.1	2	0
LJ.Hernandez, P	13	0.2	2	0
RY.de los Santos, P	18	1	0	0
RC.Mlodzinski, P	1	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Suwinski, CF	0-3	0	0
1C.Joe, PH	1-1	0	0
1L.Peguero, SS	0-0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-4	1	0
3A.McCutchen, DH	0-3	0	0
4J. Choi, 1B	1-4	0	1
5H.Davis, RF	0-3	0	0
6E.Rodriguez, C	1-4	0	0
7J.Triolo, 3B	0-3	0	0
8N.Gonzales, 2B	0-3	0	0
9A.Williams, SS	0-2	0	0
9J.Palacios, PH	1-1	0	0
9J.Palacios, CF	1-1	0	0