Phillies vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - July 6, 2023

Phillies at Rays

10:40 pm • BSSUN

Philadelphia Phillies

4-6

3 - 1

Tampa Bay Rays

4-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Armstrong			1.39	1-0
C.Sanchez			3.44	3-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 4-6	+1.5-174	o9.5-112	+111
Rays 4-6	-1.5+142	u9.5-110	-134

Thursday 10:40 p.m.

July 06, 2023

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

Under 4.5 (F5)-130

0.77u

(LIVE) - getting the same vibe during Nola start

Over 9.5-107

3.21u

C.Sanchez o3.5 Ks-140

1.4u

Over in 4/4 starts (incl tough matchups vs NYM and WSH). TBR running a a 25.8% K% vs lefties over the L30 days. Low line, and Sanchez is stretched out fully as is. Running at a 31% CSW% as well - getting a ton of called strikes - TBR has the 5th highest CSW% over the L30 days.

PHI +105 (F5)

That’s right you heard me… RIDING

PHI +115

1.15u

Riding Nicky 2 Bags and the Phillies into the Sunset

PHI +117

1.17u

Under 9-105

0.5u

Bet to -122 or 8.5 (-103)

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The Rays are just 10-20 (.333) after a win as underdogs since last season -- tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.

Brandon Marsh has struck out in 32% of PA's this season -- fourth highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Steven Okert has a strikeout rate of 34% this season -- tied for 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

43% of Alec Bohm strikeouts are looking this season -- highest in MLB-- 100th Percentile. 47% of Jake Diekman strikeouts are looking this season -- fourth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Shawn Armstrong has a strike rate of 73% (219/301) with runners in scoring position since last season -- highest among in MLB; League Avg: 64% -- 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (19/133) against Shawn Armstrong since last season -- 3rd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 22% -- 97th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Rays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 5th	PHI	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 9	PHI -120
Jul 4th	PHI	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 8	PHI -145
Jul 2nd	@SEA	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 7.5	SEA +110
Jul 1st	@SEA	L 3-8	-1.5 L	O 7	SEA -112
Jul 1st	@SEA	W 15-4	-1.5 W	O 7.5	TB -134

Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

Weston Wilson
OF
Wilson is out with oblique
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sanchez, P	75	6	2	1
RY.Marte, P	10	1	1	0
LJ.Alvarado, P	30	1	2	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	13	1	1	0
LM.Strahm, P	19	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, LF	2-5	0	0	1
1C.Pache, PR	0-0	0	0	0
1C.Pache, LF	0-0	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	2-5	0	0	1
3N.Castellanos, RF	0-5	0	0	0
4B.Harper, DH	0-5	0	0	0
5A.Bohm, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5A.Bohm, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6B.Stott, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7D.Hall, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
7E.Sosa, PR	0-0	1	0	0
7E.Sosa, 3B	0-0	1	0	0
8B.Marsh, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9G.Stubbs, C	1-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Armstrong, P	44	3	5	0
RR.Stephenson, P	11	1	1	0
LJ.Diekman, P	12	1	1	1
RK.Kelly, P	22	2	4	0
RJ.Adam, P	9	1	0	0
RP.Fairbanks, P	13	1	2	0
LC.Poche, P	11	1	0	0
RR.Thompson, P	27	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
2W. Franco, SS	1-5	0	0	0
3H.Ramirez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4R.Arozarena, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5I.Paredes, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
5J.Lowe, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5B.Lowe, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
6M.Margot, RF	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Siri, CF	1-4	0	0	0
8C.Bethancourt, C	0-4	0	0	0
9T.Walls, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9T.Walls, 3B	0-3	0	0	0