Phillies vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - July 4, 2023
Phillies at Rays
8:10 pm • MLB NetworkStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 3.50 | 16-8 | |
 |  | 4.46 | 12-9 |
Phillies at Rays Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Phillies 4-8 | +1.5-176 | o8-110 | +120 | |
Rays 5-6 | -1.5+143 | u8-110 | -145 | |
Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg
Phillies vs. Rays Expert Picks
Anders
613d ago
Last 30d: 7-5-0 (-0.2u)
Z.Eflin o5.5 Ks+100
1u
Mjaybrod
613d ago
Last 30d: 80-76-0 (-1.7u)
PHI +122
0.61u
Under 2.5 (F5)+242
1.21u
Under 3.5 (F5)+128
0.96u
Capper Central
613d ago
Last 30d: 79-57-1 (+13.8u)
TB -138
$150.00
SportsMadeEasy tail - double whale
Anders
613d ago
Last 30d: 7-5-0 (-0.2u)
A.Nola o1.5 BB-120
1.2u
Z.Eflin o5.5 Ks+100
1u
Sean Zerillo
613d ago
Last 30d: 34-45-1 (-3.0u)
L.Raley o0.5 HR+520
0.05u
Dingers
Z.Eflin o5.5 Ks+105
0.11u
Bet to -110
The Degenerate
613d ago
Last 30d: 86-155-2 (-28.6u)
TB -141 (F5)
1u
Mjaybrod
613d ago
Last 30d: 80-76-0 (-1.7u)
Under 4.5 (F5)-120
0.83u
Line freeze, expecting a pitcher’s duel
Greg DiNardo
613d ago
Last 30d: 63-57-0 (+2.0u)
TB -0.5 (F5)-110
1.1u
Stuck 🚨
613d ago
Last 30d: 40-30-5 (+5.3u)
PHI +125
0.38u
Steak Friend
613d ago
Last 30d: 248-271-6 (-8.8u)
PHI +120
1.2u
Mjaybrod
613d ago
Last 30d: 80-76-0 (-1.7u)
PHI +120 (F5)
1.2u
Elfin facing his previous team, he is not him
Collin Wilson
614d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
TB -140
0.7u
Project Eflin -190, Phillies poor wRC+ v Righties
Phillies vs. Rays Previews & Analysis
Phillies vs. Rays Notes
Matchup Contrasts
Yandy Diaz is batting .283 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- 15th best in MLB-- 88th Percentile. Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 28% of the time since last season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 88th Percentile.
Yandy Diaz has a miss rate of only 20% on breaking pitches since last season -- fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 28% of the time since last season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 88th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Zach Eflin has allowed a slugging percentage of just .163 (7 Total Bases / 43 ABs) on fastballs away this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 -- 98th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (112/297) when he's behind in the count this season -- 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% -- 93rd Percentile.
Aaron Nola has a strike rate of 69% (655/954) against right-handed batters this season -- 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% -- 93rd Percentile.
Zach Eflin allowed a batting average of .272 vs right-handed batters (ninth worst)-- 13th Percentile and just .188 vs left-handed batters this season (third best among qualified SPs)-- 95th Percentile.
Keys to the Game
The Rays are 53-26 (.671) after a home win since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .540.
The Rays are just 10-20 (.333) after a win as underdogs since last season -- tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Phillies are 11-6 (.647) after a home loss this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .503.
The Phillies are 79-52 (.603) after a win since last season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .516.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Phillies vs. Rays Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Rays are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Rays' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Rays vs. Phillies Injury Updates
Rays Injuries
- Ha-Seong KimIF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out
Phillies Injuries
- Weston WilsonOF
Wilson is out with oblique
Out
Phillies vs. Rays Box Score
Phillies Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 104 | 7.1 | 12 | 1 | |
 | 7 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Rays Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 102 | 7 | 9 | 2 | |
 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Phillies vs. Rays Odds Comparison
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Phillies at Rays Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Phillies 4-8 | N/A | N/A |
Rays 5-6 | N/A | N/A |