Pirates vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - April 30, 2023

Pirates at Nationals

5:35 pm • MASN

Pittsburgh Pirates

9-8

2 - 7

Washington Nationals

8-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Gray			3.91	8-13
J.Oviedo			4.31	9-14

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 9-8	-1.5+102	o8.5-112	-161
Nationals 8-8	+1.5-123	u8.5-107	+133

Sunday 5:35 p.m.

April 30, 2023

Nationals ParkWashington

Under 8+100

WSH +1.5-140

WSH +0.5 (F5)-119

1.01u

Under 4.5 (F5)-118

0.89u

Bet to -125. Rivers has -113 I bumped this up to .75u. No particular justification on edge (3.5% where I bet it) but I like the way both pitchers are trending Favorite bet for Sunday aside from Baltimore

The Nationals are just 2-11 (.154) at home this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.

The Pirates are 7-6 (.538) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .261.

The Pirates are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .125.

Bryan Reynolds is slugging .800 on breaking pitches this season -- best in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Josiah Gray has thrown a breaking pitch 61% of the time this season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.

Bryan Reynolds is slugging .698 on non-fastballs this season -- best in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Josiah Gray has thrown off-speed pitches 62% of the time this season -- ninth highest among qualified SPs-- 89th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (10/80) against Josiah Gray this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% (49/89) against Johan Oviedo this season -- 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- 88th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 29th	PIT	L 1-16	+1.5 L	O 9	PIT +124
Apr 29th	PIT	L 3-6	+1.5 L	U 9.5	PIT +120
Apr 27th	@NYM	L 8-9	+1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM +198
Apr 26th	@NYM	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 8	WSH +180
Apr 25th	@NYM	W 5-0	+1.5 W	U 8.5	WSH +175

Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
IF
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Oviedo, P	64	2.1	1	7
RD.Moreta, P	30	1.2	1	0
LJ.Hernandez, P	25	2	2	0
RY.Ramirez, P	19	1	1	0
RD. Underwood, P	14	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Hayes, 3B	0-4	0	0
2B.Reynolds, DH	2-4	0	1
3M.Andujar, RF	0-3	0	0
4C.Santana, 1B	0-2	0	0
5J.Suwinski, CF	0-4	0	0
6C.Joe, LF	1-4	1	0
7T.Marcano, SS	2-4	0	1
8J.Bae, 2B	1-4	1	0
9A.Hedges, C	0-3	0	0
9A.McCutchen, PH	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Gray, P	105	6	6	1
RA. Machado, P	29	2	1	0
RK.Finnegan, P	22	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Call, LF	1-5	0	0
2L.Garcia, 2B	1-5	1	2
3K.Ruiz, C	2-4	1	0
4J.Meneses, DH	4-5	1	1
5J.Candelario, 3B	2-3	0	2
6D.Smith, 1B	1-5	1	0
7L.Thomas, RF	1-3	1	0
8C.Abrams, SS	1-4	1	0
9V.Robles, CF	2-4	1	2