Pirates vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 5, 2023

Pirates at Red Sox

5:35 pm • NESN

Pittsburgh Pirates

10-8

4 - 1

Boston Red Sox

8-7

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C. Kluber			7.04	3-6
M.Keller			4.21	13-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 10-8	+1.5-152	o8.5-120	+129
Red Sox 8-7	-1.5+128	u8.5-104	-152

Wednesday 5:35 p.m.

April 05, 2023

Fenway ParkBoston

PIT +130

Under 8.5-105

PIT +129

0.65u

PIT +135

0.68u

too much cheddar here

Under 9+100

0.5u

Need +100 or better

PIT +125

1.25u

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Brad Cunningham•
Apr 5, 2023 UTC
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The Red Sox are 31-34 (.477) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season -- 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

The Pirates are just 53-8 (.869) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Red Sox are just 27-49 (.355) when underdogs since the 2022 season -- 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.

51% of fastball strikeouts for Rafael Devers were located out of the zone last season -- fourth highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. 46% of Mitch Keller fastball strikeouts were located out of the zone last season -- 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 87th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 36% (188/519) against Corey Kluber in 2022 -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- sixth Percentile.

Opponents batted .356 (47-for-132) against Corey Kluber with runners in scoring position in 2022 -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 -- fourth Percentile.

Mitch Keller allowed an OBP of .406 (160 PA's) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .296 -- second Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (53/154) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2021 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 4th	PIT	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 9	PIT -153
Apr 3rd	PIT	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 9.5	PIT -154
Apr 2nd	BAL	W 9-5	-1.5 W	O 9	BOS -140
Apr 1st	BAL	W 9-8	-1.5 L	O 9.5	BOS -156
Mar 30th	BAL	L 9-10	-1.5 L	O 9	BAL -125

Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
IF
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable

Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	107	7	7	1
LR.Zastryzny, P	8	1	1	0
RD. Underwood, P	5	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1O.Cruz, SS	1-4	1	0	0
1C.Joe, RF	0-1	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-3	1	0	1
3A.McCutchen, DH	2-4	0	0	0
4C.Santana, 1B	2-4	1	1	2
5K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
6J.Suwinski, RF	0-2	0	0	0
6J.Suwinski, CF	0-2	0	0	0
7R.Castro, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7R.Castro, SS	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Bae, CF	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Bae, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
9J.Delay, C	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC. Kluber, P	67	5	2	1
RJ.Schreiber, P	24	1	2	1
RK.Ort, P	29	1	1	2
LR. Bleier, P	19	1	0	0
RZ.Kelly, P	22	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	0-3	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	0-4	0	0
3J.Turner, DH	1-3	0	0
4M.Yoshida, LF	0-4	0	0
5T.Casas, 1B	1-4	1	0
6C. Arroyo, 2B	2-3	0	1
7R. Tapia, CF	1-3	0	0
8Y. Chang, SS	0-2	0	0
8R.McGuire, PH	0-1	0	0
8R.McGuire, C	0-1	0	0
9C.Wong, C	0-2	0	0
9E.Hernandez, SS	0-1	0	0