Pirates vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - September 28, 2024

Pirates at Yankees

5:05 pm • MLB Network

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

9 - 4

New York Yankees

1-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Gil			3.50	15-7
P.Skenes			1.96	11-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 0-0	+1.5	+1.5-199	o6.5-122	+114
Yankees 1-0	u7.5	-1.5+164	u6.5+102	-135

Saturday 5:05 p.m.

September 28, 2024

Yankee StadiumBronx

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-125

0.8u

Under 3.5 (F5)-108

1.08u

Under 7.5-120

0.5u

Flat to -125

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Featured Insight
Yankees RPs have allowed a SLG of just .360 since last season -- third best in MLB. Pirates hitters are slugging just .367 versus relief pitchers since last season -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Pirates vs. Yankees: How to Bet the Over/Under
D.J. James•
Sep 28, 2024 UTC

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The Yankees are just 4-53 (.070) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

Anthony Volpe has an OPS of just .662 since last season -- third worst in MLB-- second Percentile. Paul Skenes has allowed an OPS of just .558 (508 PAs) since last season -- second best among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP-- 99th Percentile.

Jazz Chisholm has struck out in 27% of PA's since last season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 39% since last season -- highest among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

Luis Gil has allowed a slugging percentage of just .244 (49 Total Bases / 201 ABs) versus the top of the order this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: .435 -- 100th Percentile.

Luis Gil has walked 38 of 252 batters (15%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 8% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Yankees' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 27th	PIT	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	PIT -166
Sep 26th	BAL	W 10-1	-1.5 W	O 8	NYY -170
Sep 25th	BAL	L 7-9	-1.5 L	O 8.5	BAL -130
Sep 24th	BAL	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 8	BAL -170
Sep 22nd	@OAK	W 7-4	-1.5 W	O 9	NYY -180

Marco Gonzales
P
Gonzales is out with arm
Out
Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RP.Skenes, P	23	2	3	0
RM.Burrows, P	68	3.1	2	1
RD.Bednar, P	18	0.2	2	0
LR.Borucki, P	14	1	0	1
RD.Santana, P	21	1	2	1
LJ.Beeks, P	13	0.1	1	0
LA.Chapman, P	9	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1I.Kiner-Falefa, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, DH	1-4	0	0	0
3O.Cruz, CF	0-4	0	0	0
4N.Gonzales, SS	1-4	1	1	1
5J.Palacios, RF	0-2	2	0	0
6J.Triolo, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
7Y.Grandal, C	3-4	3	1	2
8N.Yorke, 2B	1-4	1	1	2
9B.Cook, LF	1-4	1	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Gil, P	89	5.2	5	6
RC.Beeter, P	18	1.1	3	0
LT.Hill, P	12	1	1	0
RW.Warren, P	22	1	3	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Dominguez, LF	1-4	0	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	1-3	0	0	1
3A.Judge, CF	0-5	0	0	0
4A.Wells, C	0-3	1	0	0
5G.Stanton, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Chisholm, 3B	2-4	1	1	2
7A.Rizzo, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
7A.Volpe, SS	0-1	0	0	0
8O.Cabrera, SS	1-4	1	0	0
8O.Cabrera, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
9J.Berti, 2B	1-3	1	0	0