Rays vs. White Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 28, 2023

Rays at White Sox

11:10 pm • NBCS-CHI

Tampa Bay Rays

7-7

3 - 2

Chicago White Sox

5-11

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Giolito			7.04	1-4
Z.Eflin			3.50	16-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 7-7	-1.5+102	o8.5-110	-164
White Sox 5-11	+1.5-122	u8.5-110	+138

Friday 11:10 p.m.

April 28, 2023

Rate FieldChicago

Over 8.5-105

1.05u

Project 9.4; Rays decimate righties. White Sox bullpen ERA over 6. Umpire Marvin Hudson +27 units lifetime to the Over

TB -1-125

2.5u

Z.Eflin o15.5 Outs-119

1.19u

When he’s pitched, he’s been great - pounding the strike zone, limiting hard contact and a ridiculous 3.54 pitches per PA. Over in 1/3, but I’m discounting the first start and his last start (post injury). Should be in line to push past 85 pitches tonight. White Sox swing early and often, and have been painful vs RHP (83 wRC+, 66 wRC+ the L2 weeks). A little risky, but the Rays signed Eflin to eat innings.

Under 8.5-105

CWS +138

0.5u

TB -152

0.4u

Under 8.5-104

0.48u

Betrivers 3:28.

TB -155

Under 4.5 (F5)-125

0.8u

The Rays are 17-0 (1.000) when scoring 5 or more runs this season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

The White Sox are just 7-15 (.318) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The White Sox are just 5-3 (.625) when leading entering the 7th inning this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .872.

The Rays are 20-5 (.800) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .536.

Taylor Walls has a miss rate of 37% on elevated fastballs since last season -- 13th worst among hitters with at least 279 total PA's-- ninth Percentile. Lucas Giolito has located his fastball up 55% of the time since last season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Harold Ramirez batted .300 last season -- tied for 13th best among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- 96th Percentile. Right handed batters hit .312 (114-for-365) against Lucas Giolito last season -- third worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- third Percentile.

Zach Eflin has located his fastballs down 62% of the time (51/82) this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 27% -- 100th Percentile.

Zach Eflin has located his fastballs down 48% of the time (360/744) since last season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 28% -- 98th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
White Sox are 34-47 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of White Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of White Sox' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	68-93	34-46	34-47	5-3	63-90
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
White Sox	66-86-9	31-46-3	35-40-6	4-3-1	62-83-8
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	41-121	23-57	18-63	5-3	36-117
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 27th	TB	L 5-14	+1.5 L	O 7	TB +138
Apr 26th	@TOR	L 0-8	+1.5 L	U 10	TOR +159
Apr 25th	@TOR	L 0-7	+1.5 L	U 9	TOR +173
Apr 24th	@TOR	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 9	TOR +132
Apr 23rd	@TB	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 8	TB +160

Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

Ky Bush
P
Bush is out with elbow
Out
Drew Thorpe
P
Thorpe is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Eflin, P	74	5	5	2
RR.Thompson, P	19	1	0	0
RJ.Adam, P	12	1	1	0
LC.Poche, P	15	1	1	0
RP.Fairbanks, P	16	0.2	1	0
RK.Kelly, P	2	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	1-2	1	0	0
1T.Walls, PH	0-2	0	0	0
1T.Walls, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
2W. Franco, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3R.Arozarena, LF	2-4	0	0	0
4B.Lowe, 2B	0-4	0	0	1
5H.Ramirez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6I.Paredes, 3B	3-4	2	1	1
6I.Paredes, 1B	3-4	2	1	1
7C.Bethancourt, C	0-4	0	0	0
8M.Margot, RF	3-4	0	0	1
9J.Siri, CF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Giolito, P	97	6.2	6	2
RR.Lopez, P	11	1.1	0	0
RK.Graveman, P	13	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Benintendi, LF	1-4	0	0	0
2A.Vaughn, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
2R.Gonzalez, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3L.Robert, CF	0-4	0	0	0
4E.Jimenez, DH	1-3	0	0	0
5G.Sheets, RF	1-3	0	0	0
5Y.Grandal, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5A. Haseley, RF	0-0	0	0	0
6J.Burger, 3B	2-4	1	1	1
7S.Zavala, C	0-4	0	0	0
8E. Andrus, SS	0-2	0	0	0
9L.Sosa, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9O.Colas, PH	0-1	0	0	0