Red Sox vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - July 3, 2024

Red Sox at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL

Boston Red Sox

1-4

7 - 2

Miami Marlins

4-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Rogers			7.11	0-2
B.Bello			4.49	14-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 1-4	-1.5+129	o7.5-118	-130
Marlins 4-2	+1.5-154	u7.5-105	+110

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

July 03, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

MIA +110

Over 8-112

Under 4.5 (F5)-135

0.74u

SQUAD POD

T.Rogers u5.5 Ks-137

1.2u

Over 8-105

0.95u

Over 8-112

T.Rogers o4.5 Hits Allowed-157

0.64u

MIA +120

MIA +129

0.5u

Bet to +120

T.Rogers u5.5 Ks-116

1.16u

Featured Insight
The Red Sox are batting .249 versus relief pitchers since the 2022 season -- fourth best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .250 (1,421-for-5,695) against Marlins RPs since the 2022 season -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Marlins RPs have a strikeout rate of 31% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- fifth highest in MLB. Red Sox right-handed hitters have struck out 39% against LHP over the last week -- second highest in MLB.

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MLB Player Props For Wednesday
Doug Ziefel•
Jul 3, 2024 UTC
Opening Pitch: McGrath's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
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The Red Sox are 35-29 (.547) after a road win since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .477.

Rafael Devers has an OPS of .878 since the 2022 season -- 10th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Andrew Nardi has allowed an OPS of .769 (452 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 13th worst among qualified RPs-- seventh Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has a first-pitch strike rate of just 43% (22/51) -- lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% -- first Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 48% (145/303) of the time this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 62% -- 0 Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (73/441) against Brayan Bello since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 162 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Marlins' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	4-2	4-2	N/A	0-1	4-1
Red Sox	2-3	N/A	2-3	1-1	1-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	3-3	3-3	N/A	0-1	3-2
Red Sox	1-4	N/A	1-4	0-2	1-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	4-2	4-2	N/A	1-0	3-2
Red Sox	1-4	N/A	1-4	1-1	0-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 2nd	BOS	L 3-8	+1.5 L	O 8	BOS +136
Jun 30th	@PHI	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 8	PHI +210
Jun 29th	@PHI	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9	MIA +210
Jun 28th	@PHI	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 8	PHI +185
Jun 27th	@PHI	W 7-4	+1.5 W	O 8	MIA +242

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Sanchez
OF
Sanchez is out with side
Out
Edward Cabrera
P
Cabrera is out with finger
Out
Ryan Weathers
P
Weathers is out with arm
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out
Connor Norby
IF
Norby is out with oblique
Out

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out with hamstring
Out
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is out with shoulder
Out
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P	91	6.2	7	1
LB.Bernardino, P	4	0.1	0	0
RC.Martin, P	20	1	1	0
RG.Weissert, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-6	0	0
2R.Refsnyder, LF	0-3	1	0
3T.O'Neill, RF	2-4	2	0
4R.Devers, 3B	2-4	2	2
5C.Wong, C	2-5	0	0
6R.Gonzalez, 2B	1-3	0	0
6D.Hamilton, PH	0-1	0	0
6D.Hamilton, 2B	0-1	0	0
7M.Yoshida, DH	2-4	1	2
8D.Smith, 1B	0-4	1	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	2-5	0	3

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Rogers, P	84	3	6	2
RH.Brazoban, P	39	3	3	0
RC.Faucher, P	18	0.1	0	1
LA.Nardi, P	8	0.2	1	0
RA.Bender, P	9	1	0	0
RA.Maldonado, P	28	1	1	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	1-4	1	0
2B.De La Cruz, LF	1-3	0	0
3J.Bell, DH	0-4	0	0
4J.Sanchez, RF	3-4	0	1
5J.Burger, 1B	1-4	0	0
6X.Edwards, SS	1-4	1	0
7V.Brujan, 2B	0-4	0	0
8E.Rivera, 3B	1-3	0	1
9N.Fortes, C	1-4	0	0