Red Sox vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - July 4, 2024

Red Sox at Marlins

5:10 pm • BSFL

Boston Red Sox

0-0

6 - 5

Miami Marlins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Tyler			5.40	0-2
N.Pivetta			4.14	6-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 0-0	-1.5+105	o8-118	-155
Marlins 0-0	+1.5-125	u8-102	+130

Thursday 5:10 p.m.

July 04, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

BOS -128 (Live)

0.78u

Under 8.5-115

0.58u

Bet to -120 or 8 (-102)

Featured Insight
The Red Sox have allowed just 3.6 runs per game on the road this season -- lowest in MLB (41 games). The Marlins have scored just 4.0 runs per game at home this season -- fifth lowest in MLB (44 games).

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The Red Sox are 68-54 (.557) after a win since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .506.

The Red Sox are 37-29 (.561) after a road win since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .479.

The Marlins are just 27-35 (.435) after a home loss since the 2023 season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.

The Marlins are just 20-32 (.385) after a road win since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.

Dominic Smith has an OPS of just .679 since last season -- 11th worst in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Tanner Scott has allowed an OPS of just .519 (455 PAs) since last season -- second best among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has allowed an OBP of just .185 (508 PA's) with two-strikes since last season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: .246 -- 98th Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .776 (225 Total Bases / 290 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: .573 -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 3rd	BOS	L 2-7	+1.5 L	O 7.5	BOS +110
Jul 2nd	BOS	L 3-8	+1.5 L	O 8	BOS +136
Jun 30th	@PHI	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 8	PHI +210
Jun 29th	@PHI	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9	MIA +210
Jun 28th	@PHI	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 8	PHI +185

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Pivetta, P	89	7	10	0
RJ.Slaten, P	19	0.2	1	2
LB.Bernardino, P	10	0.1	0	0
RK.Jansen, P	10	1	1	0
RZ.Kelly, P	30	2	3	1
RG.Weissert, P	23	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-6	1	0
2D.Hamilton, 2B	1-5	2	1
3T.O'Neill, LF	3-5	1	2
3T.O'Neill, RF	3-5	1	2
4R.Devers, 3B	0-3	0	2
5W.Abreu, RF	0-3	0	0
5R.Refsnyder, PH	0-2	0	0
5R.Refsnyder, LF	0-2	0	0
6M.Yoshida, DH	0-4	0	0
6E.Valdez, PR	1-1	0	1
6E.Valdez, DH	1-1	0	1
7R.McGuire, C	0-3	0	0
7C.Wong, PH	0-2	0	0
7C.Wong, C	0-2	0	0
8D.Smith, 1B	1-3	0	0
8R.Gonzalez, PH	0-2	1	0
8R.Gonzalez, 1B	0-2	1	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	1-4	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Tyler, P	87	5.1	3	2
LA.Puk, P	19	1.2	2	0
RA.Bender, P	16	1	2	0
LT.Scott, P	17	1	3	0
LA.Nardi, P	15	1	2	0
RC.Faucher, P	19	1	1	1
RM.Andriese, P	16	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	1-4	0	0	1
2B.De La Cruz, LF	2-6	0	0	1
3J.Bell, 1B	0-5	1	0	0
4J.Sanchez, RF	3-5	1	1	2
5J.Burger, DH	0-5	0	0	0
6X.Edwards, SS	1-5	0	0	0
7V.Brujan, 2B	0-3	2	0	0
8E.Rivera, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
8N.Gordon, PH	0-0	1	0	0
8N.Fortes, C	1-2	0	0	0
9A.Sanchez, C	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Bride, PH	0-2	0	0	1
9J.Bride, 3B	0-2	0	0	1