Red Sox vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - May 6, 2023

Red Sox at Phillies

11:15 pm • FOX

Boston Red Sox

8-6

7 - 4

Philadelphia Phillies

6-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Falter			5.58	2-2
C. Kluber			7.04	3-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 8-6	+1.5-155	o9-120	+132
Phillies 6-8	-1.5+130	u9+100	-161

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

May 06, 2023

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

PHI -160

1.6u

PHI -150

1.5u

PHI -0.5 (F5)-114

1.2u

-105

PHI -144

1.44u

PHI -145

1.45u

Over 9.5+100

Project 11; Umpire Lance Barrett +21 units to the Over. Phillies pen rocking a 5.6 ERA, Boston 23-10 to the Over this season

Over 9.5-110

0.91u

Bet365 10:36 Friday.

Red Sox vs. Phillies: Where Does the Value Lie?
Nick Martin•
May 6, 2023 UTC

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The Red Sox are 18-3 (.857) when scoring 5 or more runs this season -- 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Red Sox are 10-3 (.769) when they've hit 2 or more home runs this season -- 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.

Alex Verdugo slugged just .333 on inside fastballs last season -- tied for 13th worst in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Zack Wheeler located his fastball inside 41% of the time last season -- 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 89th Percentile.

Rafael Devers had a miss rate of 27% on inside fastballs last season -- tied for second worst in MLB-- second Percentile. Zack Wheeler located his fastball inside 41% of the time last season -- 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 89th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 11% (2/18) against Corey Kluber -- lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% -- first Percentile.

Corey Kluber has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (685/1,434) vs left-handed batters since last season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% -- 96th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 5th	BOS	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 8	BOS -166
May 3rd	@LAD	L 6-10	+1.5 L	O 9	LAD +104
May 3rd	@LAD	L 1-13	+1.5 L	O 7.5	LAD +120
May 2nd	@LAD	L 4-13	+1.5 L	O 9	LAD +145
Apr 30th	@HOU	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 9	HOU +136

Weston Wilson
OF
Wilson is out with oblique
Out

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC. Kluber, P	91	5	1	3
RJ.Schreiber, P	15	1	0	0
LB.Bernardino, P	18	1.1	1	1
RJ.Winckowski, P	9	0.2	1	0
RK.Jansen, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Refsnyder, DH	2-5	1	2
2A.Verdugo, RF	1-3	1	0
3J.Turner, 1B	0-4	1	0
4R.Devers, 3B	3-5	1	2
5E.Hernandez, SS	0-5	0	0
6J.Duran, CF	0-4	0	0
7C. Arroyo, 2B	2-4	2	2
8R. Tapia, LF	1-3	0	0
9R.McGuire, C	1-2	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	69	3.2	4	5
RL.Ortiz, P	24	1.1	1	0
RC.Brogdon, P	19	1	0	2
RS.Dominguez, P	6	1	0	0
RJ.Hoffman, P	17	1	2	0
LG.Soto, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, LF	0-5	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	2-5	1	1	1
3B.Harper, DH	2-5	1	1	1
4N.Castellanos, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5B.Stott, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
6J.Realmuto, C	1-3	0	0	0
7A.Bohm, 1B	2-4	1	0	1
8B.Marsh, CF	1-4	0	0	0
9E.Sosa, 3B	2-4	0	0	1