Reds vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - September 12, 2024

Reds at Cardinals

5:15 pm • BSOH

Cincinnati Reds

1-1

1 - 6

St. Louis Cardinals

0-1

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Gray			3.84	13-9
J.Junis			2.85	0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 1-1	+1.5-175	o7.5-105	+125
Cardinals 0-1	-1.5+145	u7.5-115	-150

Thursday 5:15 p.m.

September 12, 2024

Busch StadiumSt. Louis

CIN +130

0.5u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-135

0.74u

CIN +1-120

CIN +130

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-145

0.34u

CIN +0.5 (F5)-105

Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Jakob Junis is in incredibly good form, having given up just one earned run total in his last three starts across 13.0 innings of work en route to a shiny 0.69 ERA in that time frame. He has been especially sharp against the Brewers and the Mets, who have more formidable offenses than the scuffling Cardinals. St. Louis is hitting just .208 against right-handers in their last five games, which fits rather poorly with how Jun is has been performing. A lack of consistency offensively from the Cardinals makes it tough to expect a quick turnaround early. On the other side, Sonny Gray has a respectable 3.84 season ERA but struggled in his recent outing against this exact lineup, allowing six earned runs in his last appearance against them. The Reds offense finally seems to have awoken, taking seven of ten and hitting .258 against righties over their last ten games. This offense has shown it can give Gray fits, and it's clear from how they've fared against the Cardinals of late, scoring enough to be competitive in those games while holding St. Louis to fewer than two runs per game over five straight meetings. With the Reds playing great, hitting right-handers really well, and the Cardinals struggling against righties, taking Cincinnati to keep it tight for the first five innings is a solid play.

S.Gray o5.5 Ks-138

0.72u

FanDuel

E.De La Cruz o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

1.5u

CIN +152

0.5u

Bet to +145

Featured Insight
The Reds have allowed just 2.3 runs per game over the last week -- third lowest in MLB (7 games). The Cardinals have scored just 2.0 runs per game over the last week -- tied for lowest in MLB (5 games).

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Featured Insight
The Cardinals have allowed just 1.1 runs per game in late innings this season -- third lowest in MLB (144 games). The Reds have scored just 1.1 runs per game in late innings this season -- fourth lowest in MLB (146 games).

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The Reds are just 36-45 (.444) after a home loss since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.

Elly De La Cruz has struck out in 32% of PA's since last season -- highest in MLB-- 0 Percentile. Ryan Helsley has a strikeout rate of 31% since last season -- tied for 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Elly De La Cruz has struck out in 31% of PA's this season -- third highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 30% this season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

19 of Jakob Junis' breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor since last season -- tied for most among NL Relievers; League Avg: nan -- 100th Percentile.

30 of Jakob Junis' breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor since the 2022 season -- most among NL Relievers; League Avg: nan -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cardinals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 38-43 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Cardinals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	80-82	42-39	38-43	28-49	51-33
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	74-83-5	37-42-2	37-41-3	39-38	34-45-5
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	83-79	44-37	39-42	39-38	43-41
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 11th	CIN	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 8	STL -155
Sep 10th	CIN	L 0-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CIN -134
Sep 8th	SEA	L 4-10	+1.5 L	O 7.5	SEA +114
Sep 7th	SEA	W 2-0	+1.5 W	U 7	STL +114
Sep 7th	SEA	L 1-6	+1.5 L	U 7	SEA -102

Sonny Gray
P
Gray is out with arm
Out
Willson Contreras
C
Contreras is out with finger
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Junis, P	69	5	3	1
RC.Spiers, P	67	2.2	4	4
RC.Legumina, P	7	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.India, 2B	1-3	0	1
2E.De La Cruz, SS	1-3	0	0
3T.Stephenson, C	0-4	0	0
4T.Friedl, CF	1-4	0	0
5S.Steer, DH	0-4	0	0
6T.France, 1B	0-4	0	0
7J.Fraley, RF	1-4	1	0
7J.Fraley, LF	1-4	1	0
8S.Espinal, 3B	0-2	0	0
9W.Benson, LF	0-1	0	0
9A.Rosario, PH	0-1	0	0
9R.Hinds, RF	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Gray, P	91	6	9	1
RA.Kittredge, P	20	1.2	2	0
LJ.Romero, P	15	1.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Winn, SS	2-5	2	1	1
2A.Burleson, DH	1-5	0	0	0
3P.Goldschmidt, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4N.Arenado, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
5L.Nootbaar, LF	2-3	1	0	1
5L.Nootbaar, RF	2-3	1	0	1
6I.Herrera, C	1-4	0	0	0
7T.Saggese, 2B	2-4	2	0	1
8J.Walker, RF	0-2	0	0	0
8B.Donovan, PH	1-1	1	1	2
8B.Donovan, LF	1-1	1	1	2
9M.Siani, CF	1-3	0	0	0