Reds vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - June 2, 2024

Reds at Cubs

6:20 pm • MARQ

Cincinnati Reds

1-1

5 - 2

Chicago Cubs

3-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Brown			3.58	1-3
N.Lodolo			4.76	9-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 1-1	+1.5-205	o7-114	+104
Cubs 3-0	-1.5+170	u7-105	-123

Sunday 6:20 p.m.

June 02, 2024

Wrigley FieldChicago

Under 3.5 (F5)-115

#MLB

N.Lodolo o5.5 Ks-146

CHC -116

1.16u

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Under 7-104

1.04u

Read Opening Pitch!: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/mlb-predictions-sunday-expert-picks-odds-preview-today-june-2

Under 7.5-105

0.5u

Bet to -118 or 7 (+100)

CHC -116

0.58u

Bet to -126

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Featured Insight
Cubs RPs have a strikeout rate of 28% over the last two weeks -- second highest in MLB. Reds have struck out 26% over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB.

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The 55% Model Play for Reds vs. Cubs
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Jun 2, 2024 UTC

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The Reds are 23-10 (.697) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .575.

The Reds are just 9-17 (.346) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Elly De La Cruz has struck out in 33% of PA's this season -- ninth highest in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Ben Brown has a strikeout rate of 29% vs left-handed batters this season -- tied for ninth highest among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

Elly De La Cruz has struck out in 37% of PA's over the last two weeks -- 10th highest in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Ben Brown has a strikeout rate of 40% over the last two weeks -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 32% (207/656) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 49% -- 0 Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has a strikeout rate of 52% (33 SO in 64 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season -- 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 33% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 1st	CIN	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 7	CHC -150
May 31st	CIN	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CIN -135
May 30th	@MIL	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 8.5	MIL +105
May 29th	@MIL	L 6-10	-1.5 L	O 7.5	MIL -148
May 28th	@MIL	W 6-3	+1.5 W	O 8	CHC +140

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Lodolo, P	90	6	3	2
RN.Martinez, P	22	2	3	0
RA.Diaz, P	17	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	1-5	1	1	3
2E.De La Cruz, SS	0-5	0	0	0
3J.Candelario, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
4S.Steer, 1B	2-4	0	0	0
5J.Fraley, DH	3-3	1	0	1
6T.Stephenson, C	1-4	1	0	0
7J.Hurtubise, LF	1-3	1	0	0
8J.India, 2B	0-2	0	0	1
9W.Benson, RF	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Brown, P	76	5	6	5
LD.Smyly, P	19	1	1	0
RK.Hendricks, P	45	3	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	2-5	1	0
2S.Suzuki, RF	1-4	0	0
3C.Bellinger, CF	3-4	0	1
3C.Bellinger, 1B	3-4	0	1
4C.Morel, DH	0-3	0	0
5P.Wisdom, 1B	1-3	1	0
5M.Tauchman, PH	0-1	0	0
5M.Tauchman, CF	0-1	0	0
6I.Happ, LF	1-3	0	0
7D.Swanson, SS	0-4	0	0
8D.Bote, 3B	0-3	0	1
8M.Busch, PH	0-0	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	0-3	0	0
9P.Crow-Armstrong, PH	0-1	0	0