Reds vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - September 27, 2024

🔑 Reds ML +110 (DraftKings) 2u This line opened up at +126 and has steadily gone down bc of all the sharp money coming in. Public is on the Cubs, Sharps are the Reds. Martinez has quietly had a very solid year and the Reds are due for a W. Taillon has really struggled vs the Reds in his career with a 5.15 era. The Reds hitters should be able to get to him and we get the W

#ProProjection

Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice The Cincinnati Reds enter this matchup with solid momentum, driven by their recent dominance over the Cubs, winning 7 of their last 10 encounters. Key to this trend has been the struggles of Cubs' probable starter Jameson Taillon, who hasn’t fared well in matchups against the Reds. While Taillon’s season stats look respectable, with an 11-8 record and 3.41 ERA, his performances against Cincinnati paint a different picture. In his only appearance against the Reds this year, he allowed six runs in just 4.1 innings, and his overall career numbers against the Reds are troubling, with a 5.15 ERA and a mediocre 5-6 record in 17 starts. This weakness is especially concerning given the Reds' ability to score, averaging 4.38 runs per game, ranking them in the middle of the pack, but potent enough to capitalize on Taillon's struggles. On the other side, Reds’ probable starter Nick Martinez has been in excellent form, and his consistency makes the Reds the more favorable pick. Martinez has a strong 10-6 record with a 3.22 ERA, and in his most recent start, he went six scoreless innings against Pittsburgh. Over the month, he’s been lights-out, allowing one run or fewer in each of his last four outings. Moreover, his track record against the Cubs is stellar, holding them to just five runs in 16 innings while going 2-0 in those games. The Reds have won every game Martinez has started in September, largely due to his reliability. Additionally, the Cubs' recent inconsistency, going just 5-5 over their last ten games, and their mediocre home performance over the past week (3-3), don’t inspire much confidence. The Reds are playing better baseball and with Martinez on the mound, their chances look favorable, especially against a team they’ve already dominated throughout the season.

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Small to +110