Reds vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - September 24, 2024

Reds at Guardians

10:40 pm • BSGL

Cincinnati Reds

77-85

1 - 6

Cleveland Guardians

92-69

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Bibee			3.47	12-8
C.Spiers			5.46	5-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 77-85	+1.5	+1.5-125	o8.5-112	+167
Guardians 92-69	u7.5	-1.5+105	u8.5-108	-202

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

September 24, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

CLE -1.5+110

2.2u

Over 4.5 (F5)+100

#ProSystem ... F5 big home favs over after going under Overall: 147-94-11,61% (ROI:17%) Season:15-10-2,60% (ROI:18%)

CLE -1.5+135

1.35u

CLE -184

0.25u

Taking a piece off after Reds pitching change. Will eat the small F5 bet. Prefer Over on this game now and would pass on ML otherwise.

Over 7.5-115

0.58u

Bet to 8.5 (-110) after pitching change

CIN +142

0.5u

Update: Pass after pitching change

CIN +140 (F5)

0.25u

Update: Pass after pitching change

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 38% against the Reds RPs since last season -- tied for fifth best in MLB. Guardians hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 34% since last season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Guardians have allowed just 0.9 runs per game in late innings this season -- lowest in MLB (157 games). The Reds have scored just 1.1 runs per game in late innings this season -- third lowest in MLB (157 games).

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The Guardians are 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Guardians are 62-18 (.775) when they've hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .698.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 22nd	@STL	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	STL +112
Sep 21st	@STL	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 7.5	STL -130
Sep 21st	@STL	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 8	CLE -102
Sep 19th	MIN	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8	CLE -105
Sep 18th	MIN	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 7	CLE -135

Alex Cobb
P
Cobb is out with finger
Out
Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Austin Wynns
C
Wynns is out with shoulder
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Nick Martini
OF
Martini is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Spiers, P	69	4	2	3
RI.Gibaut, P	21	1	1	1
LJ.Wilson, P	24	1	1	0
RE.Pagan, P	19	0.2	0	2
RY.Zulueta, P	21	1.1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.India, 2B	0-1	0	0
1A.Rosario, 2B	0-1	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0
3T.Stephenson, C	1-4	1	0
4S.Steer, LF	1-4	0	1
5T.Friedl, CF	1-3	0	0
6T.France, 1B	0-3	0	0
7J.Fraley, RF	1-3	0	0
8S.Espinal, 3B	0-3	0	0
9N.Marte, DH	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bibee, P	88	7	7	1
RH.Gaddis, P	12	1	0	0
RE.Clase, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Martinez, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2K.Manzardo, DH	1-3	2	1	1
3J.Ramirez, 3B	2-4	2	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	2-2	1	0	2
5L.Thomas, CF	1-4	1	1	3
5L.Thomas, RF	1-4	1	1	3
6A.Gimenez, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7W.Brennan, RF	2-2	0	0	0
7J.Noel, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Noel, RF	0-1	0	0	0
7M.Straw, CF	0-1	0	0	0
8B.Naylor, C	1-4	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-3	0	0	0