Reds vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - April 30, 2024

Reds at Padres

1:40 am • BSOH

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

5 - 2

San Diego Padres

4-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Waldron			4.91	7-11
N.Lodolo			4.76	9-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-0	-1.5	-1.5+160	o8+100	-105
Padres 4-3	u8	+1.5-190	u8-115	-112

Tuesday 1:40 a.m.

April 30, 2024

PETCO ParkSan Diego

SD -110

0.55u

Bet to -115

N.Lodolo u16.5 Outs-115

1.15u

CIN -108

CIN -109

2.75u

N.Lodolo u5.5 Ks-110

0.55u

M.Waldron o4.5 Ks-115

0.58u

CIN -110

1.5u

Happy Lodolo day to those who celebrate

M.Waldron u16.5 Outs-125

1.25u

Waldron is at 4.04 pitches per PA (top 25th percentile of qualifiers), with a strike rate that ranks 99th of 133. The Reds take a ton of pitches: 3.99 per PA is the 4th highest mark in baseball, with a bottom 5 swing rate. Waldron is under this line in 4/5 games, and has notably struggled in both his home starts (also had elevated OPS last season at home).

CIN -110

0.91u

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Featured Insight
The Padres scored first in 56% of their games last season -- fourth highest in MLB. The Reds allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games last season -- second highest in MLB.

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The Padres are just 4-16 (.200) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.

Jake Cronenworth has an OPS of just .712 since the 2022 season -- 11th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Jose Alvarado has allowed an OPS of just .578 (426 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 12th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 47-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 44 of Padres' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 28th	PHI	L 6-8	-1.5 L	O 8	PHI -144
Apr 28th	PHI	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	PHI -117
Apr 27th	PHI	L 3-9	+1.5 L	O 7.5	PHI -108
Apr 25th	@COL	L 9-10	-1.5 L	O 11	COL -148
Apr 25th	@COL	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 10.5	SD -149

Mason McCoy
IF
McCoy is out with back
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Lodolo, P	99	7	11	1
RF.Cruz, P	14	1	1	0
RA.Diaz, P	23	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Benson, CF	2-4	1	0	0
1W.Benson, RF	2-4	1	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	1-4	1	1	1
3S.Steer, LF	1-4	0	0	1
4J.Fraley, RF	0-4	0	0	0
4B.Thompson, CF	0-0	0	0	0
5J.India, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
6N.Martini, DH	1-3	2	0	0
7J.Candelario, 1B	2-4	1	0	0
8S.Espinal, 3B	1-3	0	0	2
9L.Maile, C	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Waldron, P	97	6	4	4
RJ.Estrada, P	20	2	2	0
LT.Cosgrove, P	18	0.2	0	1
RS.Kolek, P	5	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Profar, LF	1-4	1	1	1
2F.Tatis, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Cronenworth, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
5X.Bogaerts, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
6H.Kim, SS	0-3	0	0	0
7E.Rosario, DH	0-2	0	0	0
7G.Pauley, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7G.Pauley, DH	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Azocar, CF	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Merrill, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Merrill, CF	0-1	0	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	0-2	0	0	0
9L.Campusano, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9L.Campusano, C	0-1	0	0	0