Reds vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - August 22, 2024

Reds at Pirates

10:40 pm • SportsNet PT

Cincinnati Reds

1-1

0 - 7

Pittsburgh Pirates

1-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
P.Skenes			1.96	11-3
N.Lodolo			4.76	9-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 1-1	+1.5-175	o7-115	+130
Pirates 1-0	-1.5+145	u7-105	-155

Thursday 10:40 p.m.

August 22, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

Under 7.5-120

0.83u

Under 7.5-120

0.83u

home team went under by 5 and now home team is fav or slight dogs Overall: 446-278-34,62% (ROI:19%) Season:17-13-1,57% (ROI:11%)

Under 7.5-117

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-140

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-130

0.77u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-140

P.Skenes o7.5 Ks-110

N.Lodolo o16.5 Outs-110

1.1u

Fliff

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-140

0.71u

N.Lodolo o5.5 Ks-111

$10.00

Over 7-120

0.5u

Flat to -125 or 7.5 (-105)

Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .225 (106-for-471) against Reds RPs with RISP this season -- fifth best in MLB. The Pirates are batting just .228 with RISP this season -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Pirates have a strikeout rate of 26% over the last week -- tied for fifth highest in MLB. Reds have struck out 26% over the last week -- third highest in MLB.

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Billy Ward's MLB NRFI Picks for Thursday
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Aug 22, 2024 UTC
Reds vs Pirates: The Over/Under Pick
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Aug 22, 2024 UTC
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The Pirates are just 13-19 (.406) after a home win this season -- tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

Elly De La Cruz has struck out in 31% of PA's this season -- fifth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 32% this season -- fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Yasmani Grandal has an OPS of just .608 since the 2022 season -- ninth worst among hitters with at least 675 total PA's-- second Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .574 (732 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 14th best among qualified RPs-- 91st Percentile.

Paul Skenes has a first-pitch strike rate of just 51% (37/72) this month (3 games) -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% -- third Percentile.

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 39% (39 SO in 101 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Pirates' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 21st	@TEX	L 0-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	TEX +135
Aug 21st	@TEX	W 4-0	+1.5 W	U 8	PIT +120
Aug 20th	@TEX	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 9	TEX +135
Aug 18th	SEA	L 3-10	+1.5 L	O 8.5	SEA +150
Aug 17th	SEA	W 7-2	+1.5 W	O 8.5	PIT +130

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Lodolo, P	91	4.2	9	5
RJ.Junis, P	47	2.1	3	2
LJ.Wilson, P	11	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	1-3	0	0	0
3S.Steer, LF	1-4	0	0	0
4T.Friedl, CF	0-3	0	0	0
5A.Rosario, RF	1-3	0	0	0
6S.Espinal, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
7D.Smith, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Marte, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
9L.Maile, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RP.Skenes, P	87	6	9
RB.Heller, P	32	2	4
RH.Stratton, P	18	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1I.Kiner-Falefa, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	2-4	1	0	1
3J.Bart, DH	0-3	1	0	1
4B.De La Cruz, RF	3-4	1	0	3
5O.Cruz, SS	1-4	0	0	1
6C.Joe, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Triolo, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
8Y.Grandal, C	1-4	1	1	1
9M.Taylor, CF	0-3	1	0	0