Reds vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - May 30, 2023

Reds at Red Sox

11:10 pm • NESN

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

9 - 8

Boston Red Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Bello			4.24	12-11
B.Lively			5.38	4-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-0	+1.5-130	o9.5-120	+150
Red Sox 0-0	-1.5+108	u9.5-110	-182

Tuesday 11:10 p.m.

May 30, 2023

Fenway ParkBoston

T.Casas o0.5 HR+475

0.25u

Tailing the HR sharp

R.Devers o1.5 Total Bases-117

0.85u

BOS o2.5 (F5)-150

BOS -1.5+105

0.95u

B.Lively o3.5 Ks+110

1.1u

Ben Lively is finally getting leash as a starter, and this number doesn't reflect it. Lively went 103 pitches last time out, allowing him to rack up eight strikeouts for the second straight start. He wasn't doing it in the minors, so we shouldn't expect *that* level of output, but plus money to go over 3.5 is low for someone with his pitch count. I have Lively projected for more than four strikeouts today, even on the road against a low-strikeout team. I just have a hard time being low on someone who just unleashed that big of a pitch count last time out.

CIN +150

$150.00

CIN +166

0.83u

Bet to +147

Under 10-115

0.46u

57% Strikeout Model's Pick
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The Reds are 11-2 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season -- tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 28th	@ARI	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 9	ARI +107
May 27th	@ARI	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 9.5	BOS -110
May 27th	@ARI	W 7-2	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -130
May 25th	@LAA	L 3-7	-1.5 L	O 9.5	LAA -110
May 24th	@LAA	L 0-4	-1.5 L	U 9.5	LAA -115

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Lively, P	87	5.2	6	0
LA.Young, P	4	0.1	0	0
RF.Cruz, P	17	1	1	3
RB.Farmer, P	12	1	0	0
RE.Salazar, P	26	0.1	0	5
RA.Diaz, P	12	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	0-3	0	0	1
1J. Barrero, CF	2-2	1	1	4
2M.McLain, SS	1-6	0	0	0
3J.India, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
4J.Fraley, DH	1-4	0	0	1
5T.Stephenson, C	1-3	1	0	0
6S.Steer, 1B	2-4	1	0	1
7K.Newman, 3B	0-4	1	0	0
8W.Benson, LF	3-5	3	0	0
9S.Fairchild, RF	1-4	1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P	97	4	4	1
RJ. Garza, P	41	1.2	2	1
LJ.Rodriguez, P	36	0.2	1	5
LR. Sherriff, P	31	2.2	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R. Tapia, RF	3-5	2	2
2R.Devers, 3B	2-5	1	2
3J.Turner, DH	1-5	1	1
4M.Yoshida, LF	3-4	0	1
4P.Reyes, PR	0-0	0	0
5J.Duran, CF	1-5	0	1
6T.Casas, 1B	0-5	0	0
7K.Hernandez, SS	1-3	0	0
8E.Valdez, 2B	1-3	2	0
9R.McGuire, C	2-4	2	1