Rockies vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - April 14, 2024

Rockies at Blue Jays

5:37 pm • COLR

Colorado Rockies

11-8

0 - 5

Toronto Blue Jays

11-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Berrios			3.60	16-11
K.Freeland			5.24	5-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rockies 11-8	+1.5+105	o8.5-114	+210
Blue Jays 11-6	-1.5-125	u8.5-105	-258

Sunday 5:37 p.m.

April 14, 2024

Rogers CentreToronto

TOR o4.5 Team Total-125

0.5u

COL +1.5+106

$50.00

TOR -1.5-122

J.Turner o1.5 Total Bases+100

0.5u

Ballpark pal gives an extreme advantage to Turner in this matchup and +ev with devig odds of -130 giving value at this number

Featured Insight
Rockies hitters have a groundball rate of 45% since the 2022 season -- sixth highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays since the 2022 season -- eighth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Blue Jays RPs had a strikeout rate of 26% vs left-handed batters last season -- third highest in MLB. Rockies left-handed hitters struck out 25% against RHP last season -- tied for fifth highest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Dabbundo's MLB Bets for Sunday
Anthony Dabbundo•
Apr 14, 2024 UTC

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Ryan McMahon has struck out in 29% of PA's since the 2022 season -- fourth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Jose Alvarado has a strikeout rate of 37% since the 2022 season -- fourth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Daulton Varsho has an OPS of just .705 since the 2022 season -- ninth worst in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Clay Holmes has allowed an OPS of just .570 (553 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 12th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (94/280) this season -- highest among in AL; League Avg: 15% -- 100th Percentile.

Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (20/47) with runners in scoring position this season -- highest among in AL; League Avg: 14% -- 100th Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .648 (118 Total Bases / 182 ABs) on changeups since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .376 -- first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has an ERA of 16.03 (10.2 IP)this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 4.12 -- first Percentile.

The Blue Jays are 39-17 (.696) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .573.

The Rockies are just 49-14 (.778) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.

The Blue Jays are just 9-62 (.127) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .217.

The Rockies are just 45-22 (.672) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

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MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Blue Jays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37
Rockies	80-82	43-38	37-44	3-2	77-80

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3
Rockies	80-80-2	37-43-1	43-37-1	3-2	77-78-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53
Rockies	61-101	37-44	24-57	3-2	58-99

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 13th	COL	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 9	TOR -191
Apr 12th	COL	L 4-12	-1.5 L	O 8	COL -230
Apr 10th	SEA	L 1-6	-	U 8.5	SEA -120
Apr 9th	SEA	W 5-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	TOR -112
Apr 8th	SEA	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 8	TOR -119

Daulton Varsho
OF
Varsho is out with shoulder
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

Brenton Doyle
OF
Brenton Doyle has been Scratched Friday
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LK.Freeland, P	95	5	3	4
RV.Vodnik, P	21	1	0	0
LJ.Beeks, P	17	1	0	0
RA.Molina, P	24	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Blackmon, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2E.Tovar, SS	1-3	0	0	0
3R.McMahon, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
4E.Diaz, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5N.Jones, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6B.Doyle, CF	0-4	0	0	0
7B.Rodgers, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8E.Montero, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
9J.Stallings, C	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RJ.Berrios, P	100	7	7
LG.Cabrera, P	13	1	0
RN.Pearson, P	16	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	2-4	2	0
2V.Guerrero, 1B	1-4	1	1
3B.Bichette, SS	0-4	0	0
4J.Turner, DH	3-4	0	3
5D.Schneider, LF	0-4	0	0
5D.Varsho, LF	0-0	0	0
6E.Clement, 3B	2-4	1	0
7A.Kirk, C	2-2	0	0
8I.Kiner-Falefa, 2B	1-4	0	1
9K.Kiermaier, CF	1-4	1	0