Rockies vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - June 11, 2024

Rockies at Twins

11:40 pm • COLR

Colorado Rockies

0-0

5 - 4

Minnesota Twins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Varland			7.61	0-6
C.Quantrill			4.97	8-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rockies 0-0	+1.5	+1.5-115	o8.5-110	+170
Twins 0-0	u8.5	-1.5-105	u8.5-110	-205

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

June 11, 2024

Target FieldMinneapolis

L.Varland o5.5 Ks+112

Under 8.5-109

Over 8.5+100

0.25u

Small at +100 or better

Under 8.5-110

1.1u

COL +172

1.72u

Value play on the Rockies fading Louie Varland and a Twins team that is 3-6 in their last nine games.

COL +176

1.76u

COL +1.5-114

$50.00

Featured Insight
Rockies hitters have a groundball rate of 45% this season -- tied for fourth highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins this season -- third lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Twins have scored 1.6 runs per game in late innings since last season -- fourth highest in MLB (227 games). The Rockies have allowed 1.7 runs per game in late innings since last season -- tied for highest in MLB (227 games).

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The Twins are just 5-11 (.312) after a road loss this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.

Elias Diaz is batting .300 on breaking pitches this season -- seventh best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Steven Okert has thrown a breaking pitch 63% of the time this season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Ryan McMahon has struck out in 29% of PA's since the 2022 season -- fifth highest in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Jhoan Duran has a strikeout rate of 32% since the 2022 season -- 13th highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Louie Varland has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.0 MPH in the 2023 season (192 balls in play) -- tied for 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 89.2

Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 32% (51 SO in 162 PAs) with two-strikes this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- second Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 9% (2 SO in 23 PAs) with two-strikes this month (2 games) -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Rockies	80-82	43-38	37-44	3-2	77-80

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Rockies	80-80-2	37-43-1	43-37-1	3-2	77-78-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Rockies	61-101	37-44	24-57	3-2	58-99

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 10th	COL	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	MIN -250
Jun 9th	@PIT	W 11-5	-1.5 W	O 8.5	MIN +100
Jun 8th	@PIT	L 0-4	-1.5 L	U 9	PIT -130
Jun 7th	@PIT	L 0-3	-1.5 L	U 8	PIT -125
Jun 6th	@NYY	L 5-8	+1.5 L	O 8.5	NYY +125

Antonio Senzatela
P
Senzatela is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Dakota Hudson
P
Hudson is out with elbow
Out
Brendan Rodgers
IF
Brendan Rodgers has been scratched Saturday.
Out
Brenton Doyle
OF
Brenton Doyle has been Scratched Friday
Out

Max Kepler
OF
Kepler is out with knee
Out
Anthony DeSclafani
P
DeSclafani is out with arm
Out
Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Quantrill, P	100	6	5	0
RV.Vodnik, P	22	0.1	1	2
LJ.Beeks, P	18	1.2	0	0
RT.Kinley, P	20	1	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Blackmon, DH	1-4	1	0	0
2B.Doyle, CF	0-3	1	0	0
3E.Tovar, SS	1-4	1	1	3
4R.McMahon, 3B	2-4	2	1	1
5J.Stallings, C	1-3	0	0	0
6M.Toglia, RF	0-2	0	0	1
6M.Toglia, 1B	0-2	0	0	1
7J.Cave, LF	1-4	0	0	0
8E.Montero, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
8G.Jones, RF	0-1	0	0	0
9A.Amador, 2B	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Varland, P	63	5	3	0
LC.Thielbar, P	18	0	0	4
RC.Sands, P	33	2.2	1	1
RJ.Staumont, P	13	1.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Larnach, DH	0-3	0	0	0
1J.Miranda, PH	0-2	0	0	0
1J.Miranda, DH	0-2	0	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	1-3	0	0	0
3R.Lewis, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
4M.Kepler, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5R.Jeffers, C	0-4	0	0	0
6W.Castro, 2B	1-2	2	0	0
7B.Buxton, CF	2-4	1	1	2
8A.Kirilloff, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
8A.Kirilloff, LF	0-4	0	0	0
9M.Margot, LF	0-1	0	0	0
9C.Santana, PH	2-2	1	1	2
9C.Santana, 1B	2-2	1	1	2