Royals vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 28, 2023

Royals at Twins

8:10 pm • MLB Network

Kansas City Royals

10-7

6 - 8

Minnesota Twins

6-7

pitcher		team	era	w-l
P.Lopez			3.67	11-8
J. Lyles			6.28	6-17

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 10-7	+1.5+122	o8-105	+242
Twins 6-7	-1.5-144	u8-115	-300

Friday 8:10 p.m.

April 28, 2023

Target FieldMinneapolis

Under 7.5-105

Under 8-105

0.53u

Bet to -110

Sharps, Experts on 2 Royals-Twins Picks
Alex Kolodziej•
Apr 28, 2023 UTC
Royals vs. Twins: F5 Total Bet to Make
Doug Ziefel•
Apr 28, 2023 UTC
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The Twins are just 108-92 (.540) as favorites since the 2021 season -- 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .595.

The Royals are just 3-9 (.250) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .745.

The Twins are 13-1 (.929) when leading entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .872.

The Royals are just 1-19 (.050) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .255.

Michael Massey struck out in 38% of PA's over the last 30 days -- 13th highest among hitters with at least 36 total PA's-- third Percentile. Pablo Lopez had a strikeout rate of 32% over the last 30 days -- sixth highest among qualified SPs-- 94th Percentile.

MJ Melendez struck out in 34% of PA's over the last 30 days -- fifth highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Pablo Lopez had a strikeout rate of 32% over the last 30 days -- sixth highest among qualified SPs-- 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (5/25) against Jordan Lyles in two-strike counts this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- second Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 37% (34/91) against Pablo Lopez this season -- 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 34% (20/58) against Pablo Lopez this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 27th	KC	W 7-1	-1.5 W	U 8	MIN -215
Apr 26th	NYY	L 6-12	+1.5 L	O 7.5	NYY -105
Apr 25th	NYY	W 6-2	-1.5 W	O 6.5	MIN -127
Apr 24th	NYY	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 8	MIN -162
Apr 23rd	WSH	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	MIN -272

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ. Lyles, P	94	4	4	7
LJ.Taylor, P	32	2	5	1
LA.Garrett, P	8	1	0	0
RT.Clarke, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Witt, SS	1-5	2	0	1
2V.Pasquantino, DH	0-5	0	0	0
3S.Perez, C	3-4	1	1	3
4M.Melendez, RF	1-5	0	0	0
5E.Olivares, LF	3-4	2	0	0
6N.Pratto, 1B	3-5	0	0	2
7K.Isbel, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8H. Dozier, 3B	0-2	1	0	0
9M.Massey, 2B	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RP.Lopez, P	92	6	7	6
RG.Jax, P	16	1	2	0
LC.Thielbar, P	25	1	2	0
RJ.Lopez, P	20	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Kepler, RF	1-2	2	1	2
2C.Correa, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Polanco, 2B	1-4	1	1	3
4B.Buxton, DH	1-3	0	0	0
5T.Larnach, LF	1-2	1	0	0
5D.Solano, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5W.Castro, LF	0-0	0	0	0
6J.Miranda, 3B	2-4	2	1	1
7J.Gallo, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
8C.Vazquez, C	0-4	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	1-3	1	0	2