Royals vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 28, 2023

Royals at Twins

8:10 pm • MLB Network

Kansas City Royals

3-3

6 - 8

Minnesota Twins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
P.Lopez			3.67	11-8
J. Lyles			6.28	6-17

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 3-3	+1.5+122	o8-105	+242
Twins 0-0	-1.5-144	u8-115	-300

Friday 8:10 p.m.

April 28, 2023

Target FieldMinneapolis

Under 7.5-105

B. Buxton o1.5 Total Bases+125

0.63u

Talked about this on Payoff Pitch. Buxton has been mashing RHP this season and Lyles has everything you want in a fade candidate. Buxton hitting better& w/ more power of late

Under 8-105

0.53u

Bet to -110

Sharps, Experts on 2 Royals-Twins Picks
Alex Kolodziej•
Apr 28, 2023 UTC
Royals vs. Twins: F5 Total Bet to Make
Doug Ziefel•
Apr 28, 2023 UTC
Friday MLB PrizePicks: Fade Volpe, Witt Jr. in Tough Matchups
Tony Sartori•
Apr 28, 2023 UTC

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The Twins are just 108-92 (.540) as favorites since the 2021 season -- 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .595.

The Royals are just 3-9 (.250) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .745.

The Twins are 13-1 (.929) when leading entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .872.

The Royals are just 1-19 (.050) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .255.

Michael Massey struck out in 38% of PA's over the last 30 days -- 13th highest among hitters with at least 36 total PA's-- third Percentile. Pablo Lopez had a strikeout rate of 32% over the last 30 days -- sixth highest among qualified SPs-- 94th Percentile.

MJ Melendez struck out in 34% of PA's over the last 30 days -- fifth highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Pablo Lopez had a strikeout rate of 32% over the last 30 days -- sixth highest among qualified SPs-- 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (5/25) against Jordan Lyles in two-strike counts this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- second Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 37% (34/91) against Pablo Lopez this season -- 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 34% (20/58) against Pablo Lopez this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 27th	KC	W 7-1	-1.5 W	U 8	MIN -215
Apr 26th	NYY	L 6-12	+1.5 L	O 7.5	NYY -105
Apr 25th	NYY	W 6-2	-1.5 W	O 6.5	MIN -127
Apr 24th	NYY	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 8	MIN -162
Apr 23rd	WSH	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	MIN -272

Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ. Lyles, P	94	4	4	7
LJ.Taylor, P	32	2	5	1
LA.Garrett, P	8	1	0	0
RT.Clarke, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Witt, SS	1-5	2	0	1
2V.Pasquantino, DH	0-5	0	0	0
3S.Perez, C	3-4	1	1	3
4M.Melendez, RF	1-5	0	0	0
5E.Olivares, LF	3-4	2	0	0
6N.Pratto, 1B	3-5	0	0	2
7K.Isbel, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8H. Dozier, 3B	0-2	1	0	0
9M.Massey, 2B	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RP.Lopez, P	92	6	7	6
RG.Jax, P	16	1	2	0
LC.Thielbar, P	25	1	2	0
RJ.Lopez, P	20	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Kepler, RF	1-2	2	1	2
2C.Correa, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Polanco, 2B	1-4	1	1	3
4B.Buxton, DH	1-3	0	0	0
5T.Larnach, LF	1-2	1	0	0
5D.Solano, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5W.Castro, LF	0-0	0	0	0
6J.Miranda, 3B	2-4	2	1	1
7J.Gallo, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
8C.Vazquez, C	0-4	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	1-3	1	0	2