Yankees vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 24, 2023

Yankees at Twins

11:40 pm • BSN

New York Yankees

8-6

1 - 6

Minnesota Twins

0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 8-6	+1.5-162	o8-110	+133
Twins 0-0	-1.5+132	u8-110	-162

Monday 11:40 p.m.

April 24, 2023

Target FieldMinneapolis

MIN -1-105

MIN -0.5 (F5)-114

0.5u

MIN -160 (F5)

Under 8-105

0.95u

Over 4.5 (F5)+108

0.75u

FanDuel 1:40 pm EST. https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/yankees-vs-twins-mlb-odds-picks-predictions-april-24-2023

MIN -156

J.Brito u4.5 Ks-138

0.87u

Available at FanDuel. Brito has had more than three strikeouts just once this year in four starts -- much less 4.5. One of those poor showing was against the Twins 11 days ago, meaning they've seen him recently. There, Brito lasted just two-thirds of an inning and let up seven runs. Now he has to face them again, this time in Minnesota. The temperatures are cold, which does help pitching quite a bit, but I have Brito projected for 3.38 strikeouts. It's a lot to lay -138, but I think it's justified here.

MIN -140 (F5)

Brito’s metrics are alarmingly bad. Has a 7.68 xERA and bottom 10% of all pitchers in xSLG & barrel rate. Minnesota just tattooed JB not too long ago

MIN -140

$71.43

MIN -125

0.5u

Need -125 or better

MIN -134 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -148

Yankees vs. Twins: The F5 Bet to Make
Nick Martin•
Apr 24, 2023 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Monday MLB Betting Card
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See more MLB Coverage

The Yankees are 20-25 (.444) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .196.

Aaron Judge has struck out in 33% of PA's this season -- tied for 13th highest in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 40% vs right-handed batters this season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa is slugging just .176 this season -- 13th worst among hitters with at least 30 total PA's-- third Percentile. Sonny Gray has allowed a SLG of just .255 vs right-handed batters this season -- ninth best among qualified SPs-- 89th Percentile.

Jhony Brito has thrown his changeup 47% of the time (44/93) with two-strikes this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total CH; League Avg: 16% -- 98th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has struck out 40% (22/55) of right-handed batters he faced this season -- 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 97th Percentile.

Jhony Brito has located his fastball up for a strike just 38% (29/77) of the time this season -- 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 60% -- third Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 50% of Sonny Gray's pitches (320/640) with two-strikes since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 61% -- 0 Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 23rd	WSH	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	MIN -272
Apr 22nd	WSH	L 4-10	-1.5 L	O 7.5	WSH -322
Apr 22nd	WSH	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	WSH -245
Apr 20th	@BOS	L 5-11	+1.5 L	O 9	BOS +101
Apr 19th	@BOS	W 10-4	-1.5 W	O 9	MIN -140

Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Brito, P	80	2.2	1	3
RG.Weissert, P	39	2	2	1
RA. Abreu, P	32	1.1	1	0
LW.Peralta, P	9	1	0	0
RJ. Cordero, P	20	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	1-3	0	0
2A.Judge, DH	1-4	0	0
3A.Rizzo, 1B	0-4	0	0
4G.Torres, 2B	1-3	1	0
5D.LeMahieu, 3B	2-3	0	0
6F. Cordero, RF	0-3	0	0
6I.Kiner-Falefa, PH	0-0	0	0
7O.Cabrera, LF	0-4	0	1
8J.Trevino, C	1-4	0	0
9A. Hicks, CF	0-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Gray, P	107	7	8	0
RG.Jax, P	23	1	1	0
LJ. Moran, P	24	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Kepler, RF	3-5	3	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	1-5	0	0	1
3J.Polanco, 2B	2-5	0	0	3
4B.Buxton, DH	0-4	0	0	1
5T.Larnach, LF	1-2	0	0	0
6J.Miranda, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Gallo, 1B	1-3	1	1	1
8C.Vazquez, C	0-3	1	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	2-3	1	0	0