Yankees vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 26, 2023

Yankees at Twins

5:10 pm • MLB Network

New York Yankees

8-6

12 - 6

Minnesota Twins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Maeda			4.23	6-8
D.German			4.56	5-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 8-6	-1.5+159	o7.5-105	-112
Twins 0-0	+1.5-196	u7.5-115	-105

Wednesday 5:10 p.m.

April 26, 2023

Target FieldMinneapolis

MIN -110 (F5)

0.55u

Bet to -115

MIN -105

0.53u

Bet to -110

Under 8-105

1.05u

MIN -120

1.2u

Under 8-120

0.48u

NYY -100

0.4u

Under 4.5 (F5)-120

0.5u

Flat risk to -130

Under 8-105

0.53u

Bet to -118 or 7.5 (+100)

Under 4.5 (F5)-115

1.15u

Under 8-104

1.04u

MLB NRFI Model Picks For Wednesday
Billy Ward•
Apr 26, 2023 UTC

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The Yankees are 46-43 (.517) on the road since the 2022 season -- 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .472.

The Twins are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .040.

The Twins are 53-39 (.576) at home since the 2022 season -- tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Yankees are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.

Byron Buxton struck out in 33% of PA's over the last 30 days -- 10th highest in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Domingo German had a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 30 days -- 13th highest among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP-- 92nd Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (8/30) against Kenta Maeda on non-fastballs this season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 47% -- second Percentile.

Domingo German has thrown his curveball 53% of the time (53/101) with two-strikes this season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total CB; League Avg: 19% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 25th	NYY	W 6-2	-1.5 W	O 6.5	MIN -127
Apr 24th	NYY	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 8	MIN -162
Apr 23rd	WSH	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	MIN -272
Apr 22nd	WSH	L 4-10	-1.5 L	O 7.5	WSH -322
Apr 22nd	WSH	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	WSH -245

JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.German, P	84	6	8	6
RI.Hamilton, P	29	2	2	0
RC.Holmes, P	9	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	2-3	3	0	3
2A.Judge, DH	3-4	1	0	3
3A.Rizzo, 1B	2-5	1	0	2
4D.LeMahieu, 3B	0-4	0	0	1
5G.Torres, 2B	2-5	2	1	2
6W.Calhoun, RF	2-5	1	0	1
6F. Cordero, RF	0-0	0	0	0
7I.Kiner-Falefa, CF	1-5	1	0	0
8K.Higashioka, C	1-5	1	0	0
9O.Cabrera, LF	1-3	2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Maeda, P	72	3	2	10
LB.Headrick, P	83	5	8	2
RE.Pagan, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Kepler, RF	0-4	0	0	1
2C.Correa, SS	0-2	0	0	0
2R.Jeffers, C	0-2	0	0	0
3T.Larnach, LF	0-3	1	0	0
4J.Miranda, DH	2-3	3	2	3
5J.Gallo, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
5J.Gallo, CF	1-4	1	1	2
6D.Solano, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
7N.Gordon, CF	1-4	1	0	0
7N.Gordon, SS	1-4	1	0	0
8C.Vazquez, C	0-4	0	0	0
8C.Vazquez, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
9W.Castro, 3B	0-1	0	0	0