Tigers vs. Rockies Odds & Betting Predictions - July 1, 2023

Tigers at Rockies

12:10 am • SportsNet RM

Detroit Tigers

4-3

5 - 8

Colorado Rockies

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Gomber			5.50	9-9
M.Lorenzen			3.58	5-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 4-3	-1.5+130	o11-110	-120
Rockies 0-0	+1.5-155	u11-110	+102

Saturday 12:10 a.m.

July 01, 2023

Coors FieldDenver

M.Lorenzen u4.5 Ks-130

Projecting closer to -165

DET -117

66% win rate when favorites - @moneyplayzz Tail

COL +106

1.06u

Available at FanDuel. My model is very low on Austin Gomber, so I'm a bit surprised that this one is a value. But the Rockies are a more competent offense now with CJ Cron back in the mix. They're facing Michael Lorenzen, who has pitched really well this year. Part of that has been thanks to a healthy number of plus matchups. When faced with tougher opponents, the results have fallen off. The Rockies, themselves, aren't tough, but pitching at Coors is. My model has the Rockies favored here, so I will take them to win at plus money.

DET -130 (F5)

0.65u

Bet to -133

DET -115 (F5)

1.15u

Under 12-115

0.58u

Bet to -120 or 11.5 (-102)

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The Rockies are just 26-32 (.448) after a home win since last season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .541.

The Rockies are just 15-31 (.326) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.

The Tigers are just 9-14 (.391) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .565.

Nolan Jones has an OPS of .924 this season -- 13th best among hitters with at least 118 total PA's-- 96th Percentile. Mason Englert has allowed an OPS of .865 (202 PAs) this season -- 13th worst among qualified RPs-- fifth Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Rockies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rockies are 37-44 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Rockies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Rockies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rockies	80-82	43-38	37-44	3-2	77-80
Tigers	87-75	39-42	48-33	27-39	60-36

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rockies	80-80-2	37-43-1	43-37-1	3-2	77-78-2
Tigers	79-78-5	36-43-2	43-35-3	31-32-3	48-46-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rockies	61-101	37-44	24-57	3-2	58-99
Tigers	86-76	43-38	43-38	38-28	48-48

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 30th	LAD	L 3-14	+1.5 L	O 11.5	LAD +165
Jun 29th	LAD	W 9-8	+1.5 W	O 12	COL +164
Jun 28th	LAD	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 11	LAD +230
Jun 25th	LAA	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 13	COL +136
Jun 25th	LAA	L 1-25	+1.5 L	O 12.5	LAA +130

Antonio Senzatela
P
Senzatela is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Brenton Doyle
OF
Brenton Doyle has been Scratched Friday
Out

Javier Baez
IF
Baez is out with back
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
P
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Lorenzen, P	95	5	4	5
LC.Shreve, P	24	0.2	1	3
RM.Englert, P	38	2.1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Vierling, RF	1-4	0	0	0
1M.Vierling, CF	1-4	0	0	0
2S.Torkelson, 1B	1-4	1	0	1
3A.Ibanez, 3B	2-4	1	1	2
4J.Baez, SS	1-4	1	0	0
5J.Rogers, C	1-3	1	0	0
5K.Carpenter, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5K.Carpenter, RF	0-1	0	0	0
6M. Cabrera, DH	1-4	0	0	1
7Z.McKinstry, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7Z.McKinstry, RF	0-3	0	0	0
7Z.McKinstry, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8Z.Short, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
9J. Marisnick, CF	1-2	1	0	0
9E.Haase, PH	0-2	0	0	0
9E.Haase, LF	0-2	0	0	0
9E.Haase, C	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Gomber, P	84	7	7	2
RJ.Bird, P	24	1	2	2
RP.Johnson, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Profar, DH	2-5	0	0	2
2K.Bryant, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3R.McMahon, 3B	2-3	0	0	0
4E.Diaz, C	1-4	0	0	0
5C. Cron, 1B	1-3	2	0	0
6N.Jones, LF	2-4	2	0	0
7E.Tovar, SS	2-4	2	1	3
8H. Castro, 2B	1-4	1	0	2
9B.Doyle, CF	0-3	1	0	0