Twins vs. White Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - May 1, 2024

Twins at White Sox

6:10 pm • BSN

Minnesota Twins

0-0

10 - 5

Chicago White Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Flexen			4.95	3-15
B.Ober			3.98	12-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 0-0	-1.5-135	o9-108	-225
White Sox 0-0	+1.5+114	u9-112	+185

Wednesday 6:10 p.m.

May 01, 2024

Guaranteed Rate FieldChicago

M.Kepler o1.5 Total Bases-115

0.4u

Chris Flexen ranks in B20% of all pitchers in xERA (5.20) and has allowed a .273 xBA/9.8% barrel rate thus far despite a shutout his last time vs. Tampa. He is fly ball prone and does not K many batters (12.4%) rather relying on soft contact. Wind is blowing directly out 14mph so Twins should find a lot of success here; Kepler in general has begun to finally see the ball well after a short slump and has a great matchup here. Flexen vs LHH: 9 hits allowed this season, 5 for extra bases (3 HRs)

M.Kepler o0.5 HR+330

0.1u

MIN -190 (F5)

F5 system

MIN -0.5 (F5)-125

1.88u

This team literally can’t lose

C.Flexen u4.5 Ks-150

0.67u

Ballpark pal projects 2.79 Ks and +ev bet with devig odds of -200 giving value at this number

C.Flexen o4.5 Ks+120

0.5u

C.Flexen u4.5 Ks-150

Under 9-115

0.58u

Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .208 (143-for-688) against Twins RPs with RISP since last season -- second best in MLB. The White Sox are batting just .240 with RISP since last season -- tied for fourth worst in MLB.

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The Twins are 75-14 (.843) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .785.

The Twins are 21-60 (.259) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .144.

The White Sox are just 56-9 (.862) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The White Sox are just 6-13 (.316) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.

Paul DeJong has struck out in 32% of PA's since the 2022 season -- tied for 13th highest among hitters with at least 528 total PA's-- fourth Percentile. Jhoan Duran has a strikeout rate of 33% since the 2022 season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (6/30) against Bailey Ober over the last 14 days -- lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% -- first Percentile.

Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .611 (240 Total Bases / 393 ABs) on fastballs since the 2022 season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .435 -- second Percentile.

Opponents are hitless in 18 AB's against Bailey Ober when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days -- best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .213 -- 100th Percentile.

Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .683 (142 Total Bases / 208 ABs) on fastballs since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .453 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
White Sox are 34-47 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of White Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of White Sox' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	68-93	34-46	34-47	5-3	63-90
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
White Sox	66-86-9	31-46-3	35-40-6	4-3-1	62-83-8
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	41-121	23-57	18-63	5-3	36-117
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 30th	MIN	L 5-6	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIN +150
Apr 29th	MIN	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	MIN +138
Apr 28th	TB	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 8	CWS +120
Apr 27th	TB	W 8-7	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CWS +164
Apr 26th	TB	W 9-4	+1.5 W	O 7.5	CWS +190

Drew Thorpe
P
Thorpe is out with arm
Out

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P	82	6	3	4
RB.Stewart, P	9	1	0	1
RG.Jax, P	10	1	0	0
LS.Okert, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Kirilloff, LF	1-3	2	1	1
1M.Margot, PH	0-1	0	0	0
1M.Margot, LF	0-1	0	0	0
2E.Julien, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
2K.Farmer, PH	1-1	1	0	0
2K.Farmer, 2B	1-1	1	0	0
3C.Correa, SS	1-3	2	0	0
4M.Kepler, RF	1-4	1	0	1
5B.Buxton, CF	1-1	0	0	0
5J.Miranda, 3B	3-4	1	0	2
6T.Larnach, DH	0-2	1	0	0
6R.Jeffers, PH	1-2	1	0	2
6R.Jeffers, DH	1-2	1	0	2
7C.Santana, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
8W.Castro, 3B	3-5	1	0	1
8W.Castro, CF	3-5	1	0	1
9C.Vazquez, C	0-5	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Flexen, P	92	5	4	2
RS.Wilson, P	21	0.2	0	0
RD.Leone, P	28	0.2	2	2
LT.Hill, P	16	0.2	0	0
LT.Banks, P	22	1.1	1	2
RJ.Brebbia, P	14	0.2	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Grossman, DH	2-4	1	0	1
2T.Pham, CF	2-4	2	1	2
3G.Sheets, RF	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Vaughn, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
5A.Benintendi, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6D.Mendick, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7K.Lee, C	1-3	1	1	1
8P.DeJong, SS	1-3	1	0	0
9B.Shewmake, 2B	0-3	0	0	0