Twins vs. White Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2023

Twins at White Sox

11:10 pm • NBCS-CHI

Minnesota Twins

0-0

4 - 6

Chicago White Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Cease			4.58	7-9
L.Varland			4.63	4-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 0-0	+1.5-194	o7.5-115	+105
White Sox 0-0	-1.5+160	u7.5-105	-124

Wednesday 11:10 p.m.

May 03, 2023

Guaranteed Rate FieldChicago

MIN -120 (Live)

CWS -130

MIN o1.5 (F5)-125

0.8u

Under 8-120

0.48u

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
May 3, 2023 UTC

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The White Sox are just 6-6 (.500) when they've had 10 or more hits this season -- tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .738.

The Twins were just 12-28 (.300) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 in 2022 -- tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .421.

Joey Gallo has struck out in 39% of PA's since last season -- highest among hitters with at least 283 total PA's-- 0 Percentile. Dylan Cease has a strikeout rate of 30% since last season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Byron Buxton is slugging .551 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- ninth best among hitters with at least 283 total PA's-- 96th Percentile. Dylan Cease has thrown a breaking pitch 57% of the time since last season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 57% (108/188) against Kyle Wright in two-strike counts in 2022 -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% -- 97th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has a strike rate of just 61% (723/1,189) in two strike counts since last season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% -- fourth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 62% (149/240) against Kyle Wright in 2022 -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% -- 99th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
White Sox are 34-47 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of White Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of White Sox' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	68-93	34-46	34-47	5-3	63-90
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
White Sox	66-86-9	31-46-3	35-40-6	4-3-1	62-83-8
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	41-121	23-57	18-63	5-3	36-117
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 2nd	MIN	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9	CWS +146
Apr 30th	TB	W 12-9	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CWS +160
Apr 29th	TB	L 3-12	+1.5 L	O 9.5	TB +118
Apr 28th	TB	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	TB +138
Apr 27th	TB	L 5-14	+1.5 L	O 7	TB +138

Drew Thorpe
P
Thorpe is out with arm
Out

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Varland, P	87	4.2	6	4
RE.Pagan, P	18	1.1	2	0
RG.Jax, P	15	1	0	1
LJ. Moran, P	9	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Kepler, RF	1-4	0	0	0
2J.Polanco, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
3C.Correa, SS	1-5	1	0	2
4B.Buxton, DH	1-2	0	0	1
5T.Larnach, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Gallo, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
6D.Solano, PH	0-2	0	0	0
6D.Solano, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
7N.Gordon, CF	1-2	1	1	1
7J.Miranda, PH	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Miranda, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
8W.Castro, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
8W.Castro, CF	1-3	1	0	0
9R.Jeffers, C	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Cease, P	98	5	6	4
LA.Bummer, P	16	0.2	1	0
RG.Santos, P	21	1.1	1	0
RK.Graveman, P	10	1	1	0
RK.Middleton, P	23	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Anderson, SS	3-4	1	0	1
2A.Benintendi, LF	1-4	1	0	0
3A.Vaughn, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
4E.Jimenez, DH	2-4	1	0	1
5L.Robert, CF	1-4	1	1	3
6G.Sheets, RF	1-4	1	0	0
6A. Haseley, RF	0-0	0	0	0
7Y.Grandal, C	3-4	0	0	0
7B. Hamilton, PR	0-0	1	0	0
7S.Zavala, C	0-0	0	0	0
8J.Burger, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
8H. Alberto, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
9E. Andrus, 2B	0-3	0	0	1