White Sox vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - September 3, 2024
White Sox at Orioles
10:35 pm • MASN2Starting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
C.Povich | 5.20 | 3-9 | ||
N.Nastrini | 7.07 | 0-7 |
White Sox at Orioles Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
White Sox 0-0 | +1.5+133 | o9-113 | +270 | |
Orioles 0-2 | -1.5-158 | u9-106 | -340 |
Tuesday 10:35 p.m.
September 03, 2024Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore
White Sox vs. Orioles Expert Picks
Top Shelf Action 🥃
71d ago
Last 30d: 219-227-3 (+3.3u)
Under 8.5+105
1u
.tsa low strikeout pitchers with wind helping
Overall: 152-78-18,66% (ROI:27%)
Season:20-16-1,56% (ROI:8%)
Charlie DiSturco
71d ago
Last 30d: 50-67-2 (-0.5u)
A.Santander o0.5 HR+425
0.15u
Scott Rickenbach
71d ago
Last 30d: 72-63-2 (-2.1u)
Over 8.5-120
0.83u
Grant Neiffer
71d ago
Last 30d: 49-55-2 (-1.6u)
A.Santander o0.5 HR+455
0.5u
Circa
Picks Office
71d ago
Last 30d: 88-109-3 (-28.3u)
Under 9-130
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Although both starters this afternoon-White Sox right-hander Nick Nastrini and Oriole Cade Povich-have had disastrous seasons, each has improved some of late to suggest they can help keep this game under the total. Most indicative of this is the season ERA of 7.04 that Nastrini has shaved down to a 3.77 over his last three starts. Povich has an alarming 7.36 ERA over his past three assignments, but his .456 xERA suggests that he may not be quite as bad as those surface numbers indicate. Trends are heavily in the direction of both sides to a low-scoring game. The "Under" has come through in six of the last eight games where the White Sox have been an underdog and Baltimore has seen the total go under in 23 of their last 32 games after winning.
Bullpens are also on the side of the Under for both teams. Over the last five games, the White Sox have a bullpen ERA at 3.56, and the Baltimore bullpen has been quite consistent that year as their season ERA is at 3.63 and 2.75 during that same period. More importantly, Baltimore's bullpen has a WHIP of just 1.14 which will do wonders to limit the opportunities late in the game.
Offensively, both teams have seemed to be struggling at times with no worse offender than the White Sox, who, in the last five games are hitting only .174 with a .238 OBP. Their overall anemic offense in this span, 1.6 runs per game, sets up an under lean based on that alone. Baltimore has been a far better offense but their average dips against right handed pitchers and that should serve to temper its score against Nastrini. In addition, umpire Hunter Wendelstedt's history suggests that a low-scoring game is likely; his games throughout the season have averaged runs scored of just 7.96, further supporting a low-scoring affair.
PRO Insights
Orioles
BAL Insights
- Featured InsightOrioles hitters have an OPS of .757 this season -- fourth best in MLB. White Sox RPs have allowed an OPS of .769 (2,407 PAs) this season -- second worst in MLB.
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White Sox vs. Orioles Previews & Analysis
White Sox vs. Orioles Notes
Keys to the Game
Matchup Contrasts
Today's Starting Pitchers
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
White Sox vs. Orioles Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
White Sox vs. Orioles Injury Updates
White Sox Injuries
- Drew ThorpeP
Thorpe is out with arm
Out
Orioles Injuries
- Jorge MateoIF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
- Grayson RodriguezP
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
- Tyler WellsP
Wells is out with elbow
Out
White Sox vs. Orioles Box Score
White Sox Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN.Nastrini, P | 72 | 1.2 | 2 | 4 | |
LJ.Shuster, P | 48 | 2.1 | 5 | 1 | |
RJ.Iriarte, P | 28 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
RM.Foster, P | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
RE.De Los Santos, P | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1C.Julks, RF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2L.Robert, CF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3A.Benintendi, LF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3Z.DeLoach, LF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4A.Vaughn, 1B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5G.Sheets, DH | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6K.Lee, C | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7L.Sosa, 2B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7L.Sosa, 3B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8M.Vargas, 3B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8B.Baldwin, 2B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9J.Amaya, SS | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Orioles Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
LC.Povich, P | 98 | 7.1 | 10 | 0 | |
RB.Smith, P | 9 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | |
RC.Kimbrel, P | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1G.Henderson, SS | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
1L.Soto, SS | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2A.Rutschman, C | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3R.O'Hearn, 1B | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
4A.Santander, RF | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
4A.Slater, PR | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4A.Slater, RF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5C.Cowser, LF | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
6E.Jimenez, DH | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7C.Mullins, CF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
8J.Holliday, 2B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9E.Rivera, 3B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
White Sox vs. Orioles Odds Comparison
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White Sox at Orioles Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
White Sox 0-0 | o2.5-140 | u2.5+110 |
Orioles 0-2 | o5.5-110 | u5.5-120 |