White Sox vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - September 3, 2024

White Sox at Orioles

10:35 pm • MASN2
0 - 9
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Cade Povich logoC.PovichBaltimore Orioles logo5.203-9
Nick Nastrini logoN.NastriniChicago White Sox logo7.070-7

White Sox at Orioles Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
White Sox
0-0
+1.5+133
o9-113
+270
Orioles
0-2
-1.5-158
u9-106
-340
location pinTuesday 10:35 p.m.
September 03, 2024
Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore
White Sox vs. Orioles Expert Picks
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
71d ago
Last 30d: 219-227-3 (+3.3u)
Under 8.5+105
1u
.tsa low strikeout pitchers with wind helping Overall: 152-78-18,66% (ROI:27%) Season:20-16-1,56% (ROI:8%)
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
71d ago
Last 30d: 50-67-2 (-0.5u)
A.Santander o0.5 HR+425
0.15u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
71d ago
Last 30d: 72-63-2 (-2.1u)
Over 8.5-120
0.83u
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
71d ago
Last 30d: 49-55-2 (-1.6u)
A.Santander o0.5 HR+455
0.5u
Circa
Picks  Office
Picks Office
71d ago
Last 30d: 88-109-3 (-28.3u)
Under 9-130
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Although both starters this afternoon-White Sox right-hander Nick Nastrini and Oriole Cade Povich-have had disastrous seasons, each has improved some of late to suggest they can help keep this game under the total. Most indicative of this is the season ERA of 7.04 that Nastrini has shaved down to a 3.77 over his last three starts. Povich has an alarming 7.36 ERA over his past three assignments, but his .456 xERA suggests that he may not be quite as bad as those surface numbers indicate. Trends are heavily in the direction of both sides to a low-scoring game. The "Under" has come through in six of the last eight games where the White Sox have been an underdog and Baltimore has seen the total go under in 23 of their last 32 games after winning. Bullpens are also on the side of the Under for both teams. Over the last five games, the White Sox have a bullpen ERA at 3.56, and the Baltimore bullpen has been quite consistent that year as their season ERA is at 3.63 and 2.75 during that same period. More importantly, Baltimore's bullpen has a WHIP of just 1.14 which will do wonders to limit the opportunities late in the game. Offensively, both teams have seemed to be struggling at times with no worse offender than the White Sox, who, in the last five games are hitting only .174 with a .238 OBP. Their overall anemic offense in this span, 1.6 runs per game, sets up an under lean based on that alone. Baltimore has been a far better offense but their average dips against right handed pitchers and that should serve to temper its score against Nastrini. In addition, umpire Hunter Wendelstedt's history suggests that a low-scoring game is likely; his games throughout the season have averaged runs scored of just 7.96, further supporting a low-scoring affair.

PRO Insights

Orioles logo

Orioles

BAL Insights
  • Orioles logoOrioles hitters have an OPS of .757 this season -- fourth best in MLB. White Sox RPs have allowed an OPS of .769 (2,407 PAs) this season -- second worst in MLB.
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White Sox vs. Orioles Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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White Sox vs. Orioles Public Betting Percentages

5%

Bets%

95%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Orioles
87-7541-4046-3561-5725-16
White Sox
68-9334-4634-475-363-90

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Orioles
85-63-1440-32-945-31-560-45-1322-18-1
White Sox
66-86-931-46-335-40-64-3-162-83-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Orioles
91-7144-3747-3468-5022-19
White Sox
41-12123-5718-635-336-117

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 2ndCWSW 13-3-1.5 WO 8BAL -465
Sep 1st@COLW 6-1-1.5 WU 10.5BAL -191
Sep 1st@COLL 5-7-1.5 LO 11COL -161
Aug 31st@COLW 5-3-1.5 WU 11BAL -148
Aug 30th@LADL 3-6+1.5 LO 8.5LAD +120

White Sox vs. Orioles Injury Updates

White Sox Injuries

  • Drew Thorpe
    P

    Thorpe is out with arm

    Out

Orioles Injuries

  • Jorge Mateo
    IF

    Mateo is out with elbow

    Out

  • Grayson Rodriguez
    P

    Rodriguez is out with back

    Out

  • Tyler Wells
    P

    Wells is out with elbow

    Out

White Sox vs. Orioles Box Score
White Sox Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Nick Nastrini logoRN.Nastrini, P721.224
Jared Shuster logoLJ.Shuster, P482.151
Jairo Iriarte logoRJ.Iriarte, P28111
Matt Foster logoRM.Foster, P24200
Enyel De Los Santos logoRE.De Los Santos, P20100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Corey Julks logo1C.Julks, RF0-4000
Luis Robert logo2L.Robert, CF0-4000
Andrew Benintendi logo3A.Benintendi, LF1-3000
Zach DeLoach logo3Z.DeLoach, LF0-1000
Andrew Vaughn logo4A.Vaughn, 1B1-3000
Gavin Sheets logo5G.Sheets, DH0-4000
Korey Lee logo6K.Lee, C1-4000
Lenyn Sosa logo7L.Sosa, 2B1-4000
Lenyn Sosa logo7L.Sosa, 3B1-4000
Miguel Vargas logo8M.Vargas, 3B0-0000
Brooks Baldwin logo8B.Baldwin, 2B0-3000
Jacob Amaya logo9J.Amaya, SS2-3000
Orioles Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Cade Povich logoLC.Povich, P987.1100
Burch Smith logoRB.Smith, P90.200
Craig Kimbrel logoRC.Kimbrel, P20100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Gunnar Henderson logo1G.Henderson, SS1-3300
Livan Soto logo1L.Soto, SS0-0000
Adley Rutschman logo2A.Rutschman, C1-5000
Ryan O'Hearn logo3R.O'Hearn, 1B1-3201
Anthony Santander logo4A.Santander, RF2-3202
Austin Slater logo4A.Slater, PR0-0000
Austin Slater logo4A.Slater, RF0-0000
Colton Cowser logo5C.Cowser, LF1-3202
Eloy Jimenez logo6E.Jimenez, DH2-4000
Cedric Mullins logo7C.Mullins, CF1-4001
Jackson Holliday logo8J.Holliday, 2B0-4000
Emmanuel Rivera logo9E.Rivera, 3B0-4000

White Sox vs. Orioles Odds Comparison

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White Sox at Orioles Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
White Sox
0-0
o2.5-140
u2.5+110
Orioles
0-2
o5.5-110
u5.5-120