Yankees vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - August 15, 2023
Yankees at Braves
11:20 pm • TBSStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
B.Elder | 3.81 | 12-4 | ||
L.Severino | 6.65 | 4-8 |
Yankees at Braves Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Yankees 8-6 | +1.5-107 | o10.5-115 | +182 | |
Braves 0-2 | -1.5-113 | u10.5-105 | -225 |
Tuesday 11:20 p.m.
August 15, 2023Truist ParkAtlanta
Yankees vs. Braves Expert Picks
The Degenerates
467d ago
Last 30d: 81-85-3 (-13.1u)
Over 10.5-110
1.1u
Jim Sannes
467d ago
Last 30d: 16-21-0 (+10.5u)
B.Elder u4.5 Ks-116
0.86u
Available at FanDuel. As mentioned when discussing the Yankees' ML, Elder has been leaning more on his sinker of late, and it has cratered his strikeout rate. In the 13-start sample with more sinkers, Elder has hit the over on this number just 4 times (he's 1-for-6 at home). The Yankees' active roster has roughly a league-average strikeout rate against righties, so I've got Elder projected for 3.69 strikeouts, well below the mark needed to justify laying -116 on the under.
NYY +184
0.6u
Available at FanDuel. The Braves are a wrecking ball, so it *sucks* to bet against them, especially with a pitcher in Luis Severino who seems broken right now. But Braves starter Bryce Elder also isn't in pristine form at the moment. Over his past 13 starts with increased sinker usage, his SIERA has inflated to 5.15 due to just a 14.8% strikeout rate. The issues have been more apparent recently as he has let up five-plus runs in four of his past six starts (though three of those came on the road). I get why the market is here, but my model has the Yankees' win odds closer to 40% than the implied odds of 35.2%.
Sean Zerillo
468d ago
Last 30d: 32-56-1 (-8.4u)
Under 11-115
0.5u
Bet to -118 or 10.5 (+100)
NYY +184
0.5u
Tuesday. Bet to +175
PRO Insights
Yankees
NYY Insights
- Featured InsightThe Braves have scored 3.4 runs per game while leading this season -- fifth-highest in MLB (101 games). The Yankees have allowed 3.0 runs per game while trailing this season -- eighth-highest in MLB (75 games).
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Braves
ATL Insights
- Featured InsightYankees Left Handed Hitters have struck out 24% against RHP since last season -- fifth-highest in MLB. BravesRPs have a strikeout rate of 26% vs left-handed batters since last season -- fourth-highest in MLB.
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Yankees vs. Braves Previews & Analysis
Yankees vs. Braves Notes
Keys to the Game
Matchup Contrasts
Today's Starting Pitchers
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Yankees vs. Braves Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Braves vs. Yankees Injury Updates
Braves Injuries
- Chris SaleP
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
- Ronald AcunaOF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
- Austin RileyIF
Riley is out with hand
Out
- Spencer StriderP
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Yankees Injuries
- Nestor CortesP
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
- JT BrubakerP
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out
Yankees vs. Braves Box Score
Yankees Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RL.Severino, P | 83 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |
LW.Peralta, P | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
RJ.Loaisiga, P | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
RT.Kahnle, P | 19 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
RC.Holmes, P | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1I.Kiner-Falefa, 3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2A.Judge, RF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3G.Torres, 2B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4G.Stanton, DH | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5J.Bauers, LF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6D.LeMahieu, 1B | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7H.Bader, CF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8A.Volpe, SS | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9B.Rortvedt, C | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9B.McKinney, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Braves Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RB.Elder, P | 94 | 7 | 3 | 0 | |
LA.Minter, P | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
RK.Yates, P | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1R.Acuna, RF | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
2M.Harris, CF | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3A.Riley, 3B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4M.Olson, 1B | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
5M.Ozuna, DH | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
6E.Rosario, LF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7S.Murphy, C | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8O.Arcia, SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9N.Lopez, 2B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Yankees vs. Braves Odds Comparison
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Yankees at Braves Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Yankees 8-6 | N/A | N/A |
Braves 0-2 | N/A | N/A |