Yankees vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - July 30, 2023

Yankees at Orioles

11:10 pm • ESPN

New York Yankees

6-4

3 - 9

Baltimore Orioles

5-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Kremer			4.12	13-5
L.Severino			6.65	4-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 6-4	+1.5-164	o8.5+100	+130
Orioles 5-4	-1.5+135	u8.5-110	-154

Sunday 11:10 p.m.

July 30, 2023

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

BAL -1.5+160

3.2u

Under 8.5-115

2.3u

Over 8.5-105

0.95u

BAL -135

https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/yankees-vs-orioles-mlb-odds-picks-predictions-july-30-2023

A.Judge o0.5 HR+300

0.35u

L.Severino u16.5 Outs-110

Cue the Severino road stats: 7.62 ERA and under this line in 5/6. BAL torched him at Yankee Stadium a few weeks ago (2.1 IP 10 hits 7 runs). There are just too many lefties in this lineup - Sevy has been bad overall, but against lefties he’s at a .993 OPS (that’s better than Freddie Freeman - BAL likely goes with 6.

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The Orioles are 49-39 (.557) after a loss as underdogs since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.

Aaron Judge has an OPS of 1.109 since last season -- best in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Zack Littell has allowed an OPS of .813 (299 PAs) since last season -- fourth worst among qualified RPs-- second Percentile.

Aaron Judge has an OPS of 1.099 this season -- best among hitters with at least 153 total PA's-- 100th Percentile. Calvin Faucher has allowed an OPS of .825 (120 PAs) this season -- 14th worst among qualified RPs-- sixth Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (21/61) against Dean Kremer with runners in scoring position this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- first Percentile.

Dean Kremer has a strikeout rate of just 8% (4 SO in 48 PAs) over the last 14 days (2 games) -- lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% -- second Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 29th	NYY	L 3-8	+1.5 L	O 9.5	NYY -118
Jul 28th	NYY	W 1-0	+1.5 W	U 8.5	BAL +110
Jul 26th	@PHI	L 4-6	-	-	-
Jul 25th	@PHI	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 9	PHI +108
Jul 24th	@PHI	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9.5	BAL +102

Giancarlo Stanton
DH
Stanton is out with elbow
Out

Clarke Schmidt
P
Schmidt is questionable with back
Questionable

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out
Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	80	3.1	5	9
RR.Marinaccio, P	36	2.2	4	0
RA. Abreu, P	34	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Bauers, RF	2-5	1	1	2
2G.Torres, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
3G.Stanton, DH	1-4	1	0	0
4A.Rizzo, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
5I.Kiner-Falefa, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
6H.Bader, CF	2-3	1	0	1
7G. Allen, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8A.Volpe, SS	1-3	0	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Kremer, P	90	4	7	3
RM.Baumann, P	19	1	1	0
RS.Fujinami, P	38	2	4	0
LD.Coulombe, P	14	1	3	0
RY.Cano, P	17	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Rutschman, DH	3-4	2	0	1
2G.Henderson, SS	2-5	2	0	1
3A.Santander, RF	1-4	1	0	1
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	2-5	1	0	3
5A.Hays, CF	0-3	1	0	0
5A.Hays, LF	0-3	1	0	0
6A.Frazier, LF	1-4	1	1	3
6A.Frazier, 2B	1-4	1	1	3
7R.Urias, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Westburg, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
8R.McKenna, CF	1-1	0	0	0
9J.McCann, C	0-3	0	0	0