Yankees vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - July 30, 2023

Yankees at Orioles

11:10 pm • ESPN

New York Yankees

17-11

3 - 9

Baltimore Orioles

10-17

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Kremer			4.12	13-5
L.Severino			6.65	4-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 17-11	+1.5-164	o8.5+100	+130
Orioles 10-17	-1.5+135	u8.5-110	-154

Sunday 11:10 p.m.

July 30, 2023

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

BAL -1.5+160

3.2u

Under 8.5-115

2.3u

Over 8.5-105

0.95u

A.Judge o0.5 HR+300

0.35u

L.Severino u16.5 Outs-110

Cue the Severino road stats: 7.62 ERA and under this line in 5/6. BAL torched him at Yankee Stadium a few weeks ago (2.1 IP 10 hits 7 runs). There are just too many lefties in this lineup - Sevy has been bad overall, but against lefties he’s at a .993 OPS (that’s better than Freddie Freeman - BAL likely goes with 6.

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The Orioles are 49-39 (.557) after a loss as underdogs since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.

Aaron Judge has an OPS of 1.109 since last season -- best in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Zack Littell has allowed an OPS of .813 (299 PAs) since last season -- fourth worst among qualified RPs-- second Percentile.

Aaron Judge has an OPS of 1.099 this season -- best among hitters with at least 153 total PA's-- 100th Percentile. Calvin Faucher has allowed an OPS of .825 (120 PAs) this season -- 14th worst among qualified RPs-- sixth Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (21/61) against Dean Kremer with runners in scoring position this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- first Percentile.

Dean Kremer has a strikeout rate of just 8% (4 SO in 48 PAs) over the last 14 days (2 games) -- lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% -- second Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 6-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Orioles' 12 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	11-17	5-7	6-10	4-11	7-6
Yankees	15-14	10-5	5-9	14-10	1-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	13-12-3	8-2-2	5-10-1	9-4-2	4-8-1
Yankees	13-14-2	8-7	5-7-2	11-12-1	2-2-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	11-17	6-6	5-11	5-10	6-7
Yankees	17-12	10-5	7-7	16-8	1-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 29th	NYY	L 3-8	+1.5 L	O 9.5	NYY -118
Jul 28th	NYY	W 1-0	+1.5 W	U 8.5	BAL +110
Jul 26th	@PHI	L 4-6	-	-	-
Jul 25th	@PHI	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 9	PHI +108
Jul 24th	@PHI	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9.5	BAL +102

Gerrit Cole
SP
Cole is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
DJ LeMahieu
3B
LeMahieu is out with calf
Out
Giancarlo Stanton
DH
Stanton is out with elbow
Out
Luis Gil
SP
Gil is out with back
Out
JT Brubaker
SP
Brubaker is out with ribs
Out

Albert Suarez
RP
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Tyler O'Neill
RF
O'Neill is out with neck
Out
Trevor Rogers
SP
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
SP
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
SP
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
SP
Wells is out with elbow
Out
Chayce McDermott
SP
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	80	3.1	5	9
RR.Marinaccio, P	36	2.2	4	0
RA. Abreu, P	34	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Bauers, RF	2-5	1	1	2
2G.Torres, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
3G.Stanton, DH	1-4	1	0	0
4A.Rizzo, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
5I.Kiner-Falefa, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
6H.Bader, CF	2-3	1	0	1
7G. Allen, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8A.Volpe, SS	1-3	0	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Kremer, P	90	4	7	3
RM.Baumann, P	19	1	1	0
RS.Fujinami, P	38	2	4	0
LD.Coulombe, P	14	1	3	0
RY.Cano, P	17	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Rutschman, DH	3-4	2	0	1
2G.Henderson, SS	2-5	2	0	1
3A.Santander, RF	1-4	1	0	1
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	2-5	1	0	3
5A.Hays, CF	0-3	1	0	0
5A.Hays, LF	0-3	1	0	0
6A.Frazier, LF	1-4	1	1	3
6A.Frazier, 2B	1-4	1	1	3
7R.Urias, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Westburg, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
8R.McKenna, CF	1-1	0	0	0
9J.McCann, C	0-3	0	0	0