Yankees vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - May 26, 2024

Yankees at Padres

1:40 am • YES

New York Yankees

8-6

4 - 1

San Diego Padres

4-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Cease			3.47	14-11
M.Stroman			4.31	10-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 8-6	-1.5	+1.5-205	o7.5-107	+105
Padres 4-3	u7.5	-1.5+180	u7.5-113	-124

Sunday 1:40 a.m.

May 26, 2024

PETCO ParkSan Diego

NYY +108

1.08u

D.Cease u17.5 Outs+115

Coming off two poor starts, this is an interesting spot for fade Cease. He’s perennially at the top of the pitchers per PA leaderboard (4.21 this season), with a low zone % (39.8% is 121/145 of pitchers with 30+ IP). Of course he’s successful cause of his chase rate, but the Yankees have the second lowest chase rate. Coupled with the bats being scorching hot - I love this play at +100 or better.

NYY +102

2.04u

SD -120

1.2u

Under 7.5-106

0.94u

Don't overlook Doug Eddings being behind the plate.

SD -116 (F5)

1.16u

@Zerillo

SD -116 (F5)

0.58u

Bet to -122

Featured Insight
Yankees have allowed a run just 14% of the time after an opposing score __PresentPerfect_This Month__ -- lowest in MLB. The Padres have answered-back in just 18% of innings after an opponent scores __PresentPerfect_This Month__ -- third lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Padres have allowed just 1.2 runs per game in late innings since last season -- tied for second lowest in MLB (215 games). The Yankees have scored just 1.2 runs per game in late innings since last season -- fifth lowest in MLB (214 games).

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Our Best Bet for Yankees vs. Padres
Action Network Staff•
May 25, 2024 UTC

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The Yankees are 79-15 (.840) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .789.

33% of Ha-seong Kim strikeouts are looking since last season -- tied for eighth highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 36% of Clay Holmes strikeouts are looking since last season -- tied for 13th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Jake Cronenworth has an OPS of just .720 since the 2022 season -- 14th worst in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Clay Holmes has allowed an OPS of just .566 (616 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 11th best among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 47-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 44 of Padres' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 25th	NYY	L 0-8	+1.5 L	O 7	NYY +101
May 23rd	@CIN	W 6-4	-1.5 W	O 9.5	SD -113
May 22nd	@CIN	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	SD -125
May 21st	@CIN	L 0-2	-1.5 L	U 9	CIN -120
May 20th	@ATL	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 8.5	ATL +201

Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

Mason McCoy
IF
McCoy is out with back
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Stroman, P	91	6	5	0
RL.Weaver, P	41	2	1	1
RC.Holmes, P	7	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	2-5	1	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3A.Judge, CF	2-4	2	1	2
4A.Verdugo, LF	2-4	1	0	0
5G.Stanton, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6A.Rizzo, 1B	1-3	0	0	1
7G.Torres, 2B	1-3	0	0	1
8A.Wells, C	0-4	0	0	0
9O.Cabrera, 3B	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Cease, P	107	6.2	9	4
LY.Matsui, P	18	1.1	2	0
RE.De Los Santos, P	24	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	1-4	1	1	1
3J.Profar, LF	0-2	0	0	0
4J.Cronenworth, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
5M.Machado, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
6D.Peralta, DH	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Merrill, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8L.Campusano, C	0-2	0	0	0
9H.Kim, SS	0-3	0	0	0