Yankees vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - May 26, 2024

Yankees at Padres

8:10 pm • YES

New York Yankees

8-6

2 - 5

San Diego Padres

4-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Musgrove			3.88	6-5
C.Schmidt			2.85	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 8-6	-1.5+122	o8+100	-132
Padres 4-3	+1.5-146	u8-120	+112

Sunday 8:10 p.m.

May 26, 2024

PETCO ParkSan Diego

NYY -115

1.15u

NYY -120 (F5)

1.2u

NYY -1.5+135

SD +110

3.3u

Featured Insight
The Yankees have answered-back in 36% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- fourth highest in MLB. Padres have allowed a run 41% of the time after an opposing score this season -- highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Padres have allowed just 1.2 runs per game in late innings since last season -- tied for second lowest in MLB (216 games). The Yankees have scored just 1.2 runs per game in late innings since last season -- fifth lowest in MLB (215 games).

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67% of Gleyber Torres fastball strikeouts are elevated since the 2022 season -- third highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. 67% of Joe Musgrove fastball strikeouts are elevated since the 2022 season -- tied for seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

39% of Juan Soto strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB-- 100th Percentile. 35% of Jhony Brito strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- seventh highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Clarke Schmidt has walked 11 of 90 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- third Percentile.

The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt since the 2022 season is 380.7 feet -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 398.3

Joe Musgrove has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.0 MPH against his fastballs since the 2022 season (304 balls in play) -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 90.7

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 32% (97/304) against Joe Musgrove on fastballs since the 2022 season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 45% -- 100th Percentile.

The Padres are just 7-20 (.259) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.

The Yankees are 70-40 (.636) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .584.

The Padres are just 1-92 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Yankees are 80-15 (.842) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .789.

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MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 47-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 44 of Padres' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 26th	NYY	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	NYY -124
May 25th	NYY	L 0-8	+1.5 L	O 7	NYY +101
May 23rd	@CIN	W 6-4	-1.5 W	O 9.5	SD -113
May 22nd	@CIN	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	SD -125
May 21st	@CIN	L 0-2	-1.5 L	U 9	CIN -120

Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

Mason McCoy
IF
McCoy is out with back
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Schmidt, P	101	5	6	1
LV.Gonzalez, P	16	0.2	0	2
RD.Santana, P	14	0.1	1	0
LC.Ferguson, P	15	0.1	0	1
RM.Tonkin, P	14	1.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	1-3	1	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	1-3	0	0	1
3A.Judge, CF	1-4	0	0	0
4A.Verdugo, LF	1-4	1	1	1
5G.Stanton, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6A.Rizzo, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
6K.Smith, PR	0-0	0	0	0
7G.Torres, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
8J.Trevino, C	1-4	0	0	0
9O.Cabrera, 3B	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Musgrove, P	87	5.1	5	1
RJ.Estrada, P	26	1.2	5	0
LW.Peralta, P	21	0.2	0	0
RR.Suarez, P	20	1.1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Arraez, 1B	2-5	0	1
2F.Tatis, RF	1-4	0	1
3J.Profar, LF	0-5	0	0
3J.Azocar, LF	0-0	0	0
4J.Cronenworth, 2B	2-4	2	0
5M.Machado, 3B	1-3	1	1
6D.Peralta, DH	0-1	0	0
6D.Solano, PH	0-0	0	0
6D.Solano, DH	0-0	0	0
7J.Merrill, CF	1-4	1	1
8H.Kim, SS	2-3	1	1
9K.Higashioka, C	0-2	0	0
9L.Campusano, PH	0-2	0	0
9L.Campusano, C	0-2	0	0