Cavaliers vs. Celtics Odds & Betting Predictions - October 28, 2022

Cavaliers at Celtics

11:30 pm • NBCS-BOS

Cleveland Cavaliers

46-10

132

132 - 123

Boston Celtics

40-16

123

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cavaliers 46-10	+7-107	o218.5-113	+210
Celtics 40-16	-7-112	u218.5-110	-250

Friday 11:30 p.m.

October 28, 2022

TD GardenBoston

BOS -6.5-110

0.55u

A.Horford o11.5 Pts+Ast-115

0.5u

J.Brown o29.5 Pts+270

1.35u

D.Mitchell o26.5 Pts-126

0.79u

Basket Heads

J.Brown o23.5 Pts-115

1.74u

D.White u10.5 Pts-120

Full write up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-player-prop-derrick-white-cavaliers-vs-celtics-october-28-propbetguy

J.Allen Yes110 Double-Double+110

1.1u

DraftKings. Allen has hit this in 3/4, and opposing centers have hit this in 3/4 vs BOS. With the Celtics going small, Mobley likely is forced to guard Tatum (or someone else on the perimeter). Allen should be best suited to grab boards - Celtics are allowing 18+ rbs per game to centers, representing 40%+ of individual rebounds allowed. And I like Allen’s athleticism to shine through offensively. Similar to last season, he’s averaging 12 paint touches per game - seeing consistent looks within the offense.

J.Allen o9.5 Rebs-138

0.72u

CLE +215

0.75u

I have a slight edge here based on manual adjustment power rating. But in-season numbers actually like Cavs to be favored here. The sample is too small to play the spread, but I'll take a shot on the ML with what I have as a near 60c edge.

Over 218.5-110

This number assumes an instantaneous snap-back for the Celtics defense which ranks 24th in adjusted defensive rating. The numbers all suggest that Boston's going to regulate and be OK on that end, but the Cavaliers present enough problems, especially without Robert Williams vs. the Mobley-Allen combo, to fade this. Wait til the falling knife hits the table to pick it up.

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NBA Public Betting

Celtics are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Celtics are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Celtics are 14-13 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Celtics' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 15 of Celtics' 27 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Celtics	24-30-2	10-17	14-13-2	23-29-2	1-1
Cavaliers	37-19	20-10	17-9	34-18	3-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Celtics	26-30	15-12	11-18	26-28	0-2
Cavaliers	36-19-1	19-11	17-8-1	34-17-1	2-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Celtics	40-16	N/A	N/A	39-15	1-1
Cavaliers	46-10	N/A	N/A	44-8	2-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 25th	@CHI	L 102-120	-5.5 L	U 226	CHI -220
Oct 22nd	@ORL	W 126-120	-8.5 L	O 216	BOS -367
Oct 21st	@MIA	W 111-104	-2.5 W	U 221.5	BOS -134
Oct 18th	PHI	W 126-117	-3 W	O 216	BOS -148
Oct 14th	@TOR	L 134-137	-4.5 L	O 218.5	TOR -190