Celtics vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - March 8, 2024
Celtics at Nuggets
3:00 am • TNTCeltics at Nuggets Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Celtics 22-6 | -2 | -2-108 | o222-110 | -128 |
Nuggets 14-11 | u222 | +2-112 | u222-110 | +108 |
Friday 3:00 a.m.
March 08, 2024Ball ArenaDenver
Celtics vs. Nuggets Expert Picks
Prop Bet Guy
290d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
D.White o12.5 Pts-104
1.04u
It’s just a low line for White, who averages 15.3 ppg this season. Even in a subpar team matchup, White should have a plus spot against Murray. Tatum gets AG, Porzingis has to contend with Jokic, and Brown will get KCP. If Brown doesn’t play, the matchup gets tougher, but the volume opens up - hence why I’ll play this now.
He’s also 9/12 to the over when failing to reach 10 points the game before. Some added motivation too, as he’s from the Denver area. Put up 24 vs the Nuggets earlier this season.
The Degenerates
290d ago
Last 30d: 98-75-4 (+21.3u)
K.Porzingis o20.5 Pts-105
1u
Joe Dellera
290d ago
Last 30d: 71-75-5 (+6.6u)
J.Tatum o2.5 TOs+130
1.3u
Tatum wants to be in this MVP conversation so badly, Brown a bit banged up. I think he’s going to force it
Green Dot Daily
290d ago
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+0.6u)
J.Holiday u4.5 Ast-105
0.95u
@The_Oddsmaker
BOS PK (1H)-110
1u
@JayMoneyIsMoney23
Sir Lockselot
290d ago
Last 30d: 37-68-0 (-13.7u)
A.Gordon o6.5 Rebs+120
2.4u
Sean Koerner
290d ago
Last 30d: 34-25-1 (+5.6u)
J.Holiday u4.5 Ast+105
1.05u
Grant Neiffer
290d ago
Last 30d: 48-42-5 (+0.5u)
J.Tatum u27.5 Pts-113
1u
Scott Rickenbach
290d ago
Last 30d: 86-69-0 (+4.9u)
BOS -106
1u
Sandy Plashkes
290d ago
Last 30d: 117-116-5 (+9.1u)
N.Jokic o25.5 Pts-120
$50.00
Gilles Gallant
290d ago
Last 30d: 35-79-0 (-1.3u)
N.Jokic o34.5 Pts+Ast-110
0.5u
#Tailing @JoeDellera
Joe Dellera
290d ago
Last 30d: 71-75-5 (+6.6u)
N.Jokic Triple-Double Yes+180
0.36u
N.Jokic o34.5 Pts+Ast-110
0.91u
The Nuggets host the Boston Celtics in a potential NBA Finals matchup tonight.
While we traditionally have backed Jokic to dime at home and score on the road, I like this matchup for Jokic to contribute with both.
Jokic has fared very well against Porzingis over the last few seasons, while exceeding 34.5 PA in five consecutive matchups dating back to 2021 in Porzinigis’ time with the Dallas Mavericks. This includes a 34 point and 9 assist effort back in a 2 point Nuggets’ victory on January 19th in Boston.
Jokic has had a couple 1H ejections this season but in the games he has played 20+ minutes he is averaging 26.6 points and 9.3 assists per game (35.9 PA). The thing about his last game in Boston was he took 22 FGAs which is higher than the ~18 per game he averages but he did dish 9 assists on 14 potentials which are just slightly down from his season averages.
One of the reasons I like Jokic to score is we know the Nuggets’ 2 man game with Murray and Jokic has been absolutely unstoppable, and in the postseason, when Jokic is doubled it is far too easy for Denver to score easy buckets through his facilitating.
In the January matchup, the Celtics tried to defend Jokic with a variety of different schemes. Using Porzingis H2H, Horford H2H, zone, doubles, etc. Jokic dealt with all of them.
Playoff bound teams with title aspirations often use these regular season games as ways to coax their opponents to show their hand in a particular matchup so they can have extra film on it for the postseason. It would not surprise me to see Malone try and force Mazzula’s hand here to throw some new or nuanced defensive schemes into the mix and see if anything works.
I’m taking the PA here because I think Jokic is the best tool Denver has to shred this elite Boston defense. If he continues to cook as a scorer, we shouldn’t have much issue just on residual dimes, but he also has the potential to rack up double digit assists as well and contribute to the combo prop in that regard.
I expect Jokic to have an MVP performance tonight against the Boston Celtics and exceed 34.5 PA.
N.Jokic o34.5 Pts+Ast-110
0.09u
Meant to play to win ~1 unit
Scott Pritchard
290d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
BOS -1-110
1u
Joe Dellera
291d ago
Last 30d: 71-75-5 (+6.6u)
DEN +100
1u
Denver as a home dog? Taking that every time lol
PRO Insights
Celtics
BOS Insights
- Featured InsightThe Celtics have averaged 12.5 turnovers/game on the road this season -- T-4th-lowest in the NBA; the Nuggets have forced 12.3 turnovers per game at home this season -- 4th-lowest in the NBA.
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Nuggets
DEN Insights
- Featured InsightThe Nuggets have averaged 12.7 turnovers/game this season -- T-6th-lowest in the NBA; the Celtics have forced 11.7 turnovers per game this season -- lowest in the NBA.
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Celtics vs. Nuggets Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Celtics vs. Nuggets Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Nuggets are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Nuggets are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Nuggets are 6-8 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Nuggets' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Nuggets' 11 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Nuggets vs. Celtics Injury Updates
Nuggets Injuries
- Dario SaricSF
Saric is out with knee
Out
- Vlatko CancarSF
Cancar is out with knee
Out
Celtics Injuries
- Sam HauserSF
Sam Hauser (back) out Saturday.
Out
Player Stats
- scoringNikola Jokic32ppg
- reboundingNikola Jokic12rpg
- assistsNikola Jokic11apg
- shootingZeke Nnaji100fg%
Team Stats
Celtics vs. Nuggets Odds Comparison
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Celtics at Nuggets Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Celtics 22-6 | o112-106 | u112-120 |
Nuggets 14-11 | o110-119 | u110-107 |